NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19331b324796a0f1011747264cb2f7aefd4e743f47ce5681d59cf91cfc84b227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Pistons, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 56c | 4,192$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Pistons | 44c | 3,926$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Pistons | 42c | 3,230$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Suns | 55c | 1,473$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.04 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Suns | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Suns | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Pistons | 47c | 424$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pistons | 46c | 422$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Suns | 54c | 422$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Pistons | 42c | 238.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Pistons | 5c | 204.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 43c | 192.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Suns | 55c | 182.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 44c | 137.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Suns | 58c | 113.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Pistons | 43c | 94.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Pistons | 43c | 85.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Suns | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Suns | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Suns | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 46c | 47.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Suns | 55c | 46.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Pistons | 46c | 45.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Suns | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Suns | 58c | 39.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Suns | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Suns | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Suns | 63c | 27.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 442 | 43.7%193 W · 249 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Suns | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Suns | 55c | 24.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Pistons vs. SunsSuns won
- Pistons vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.