NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc810894afe8c839402384c518fffe6de5cd481cffc4bf3089b5f21856572b140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 3,974$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.4 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 5c | 2,840$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,454$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 53c | 2,384$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.62 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,746$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 1,622$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Under | 53c | 1,308$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.55 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 5c | 1,097$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 51c | 1,024$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 657$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Under | 52c | 529.48$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.15 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 54c | 411.28$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Over | 48c | 408.33$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 385.23$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 289.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 122$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 16c | 120$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 48c | 115.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…3201backed Under | 54c | 102.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 54c | 84.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 47c | 50.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 46c | 41.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 51c | 36.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 54c | 33.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…0b62backed Under | 53c | 30.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 29.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 26.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 23.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 215.5this page
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Pistons vs. SunsSuns won
- Pistons vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.