Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71cc162368e6d015516b8a3ab6b3c973006037fb9049b205ad6d539de0184c35

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsof Central Connecticut State Blue Devils, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
Resolved: Jan 23, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $864,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $865,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $864,979 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	49c	667,587$328,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339,167.84	359	45.1%162 W · 197 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	293,640$149,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149,756.17	98	60.2%59 W · 39 L	+9.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	100,000$51,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,837.52	896	45.9%411 W · 485 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	87,260$44,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,199.18	691	42.8%296 W · 395 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	80,000$40,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,450	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	41,037$21,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,337.31	898	50%449 W · 449 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	30,234$15,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,421.24	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,399.99	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	19,250$10,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,010	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-7.2wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	8,765$4,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,586.88	1,074	47%505 W · 569 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	8,008$4,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,178.54	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	7,777$3,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,966.27	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	2,128$1,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106.77	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	185	48.6%90 W · 95 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	1,500$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	1,493$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.47	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	557	49.2%274 W · 283 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	141	50.4%71 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	740$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.47	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	200	46.5%93 W · 107 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	384.71$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	270	45.2%122 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	375$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.75	891	46.2%412 W · 479 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	53c	311.32$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	167	55.7%93 W · 74 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	1,487	43%639 W · 848 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec71…70ebbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	296.15$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	269.23$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	498	49.6%247 W · 251 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	257.62$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.96	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	46c	220$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.8	505	46.9%237 W · 268 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	218.7$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.54	820	48.2%395 W · 425 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	53c	195.82$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.78	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	53c	184.08$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.64	196	53.1%104 W · 92 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	38c	144.04$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.84	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	146	54.1%79 W · 67 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	99.78$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.89	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	51c	98.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.22	480	51%245 W · 235 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.2	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	95.19$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	53c	94.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	194	46.4%90 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	87.26$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	198	48%95 W · 103 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	75.09$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.39	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	49c	74.85$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.68	497	46.5%231 W · 266 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	365	35.9%131 W · 234 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d81…20c3backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.9wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	349	47.9%167 W · 182 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	45c	49.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-6.1wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	60c	41.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.44	2,003	53.7%1,076 W · 927 L	+101.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	268	48.1%129 W · 139 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	52c	38.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	123	55.3%68 W · 55 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3744…3e65backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	48c	30.8$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.02	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+105.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	65c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.6	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	51c	29.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	120	54.2%65 W · 55 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba4d…a31ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	48c	26.01$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.47	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-6.5)this page
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Central Connecticut State Blue DevilsFairleigh Dickinson Knights won
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 141.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event