TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsof Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e3a…3246backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights28c2,201$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.6614940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c2,105$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.342,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12520026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils73c1,350$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.4815851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c950$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils57c826.9$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.687656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c599.99$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights27c546.52$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.741,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights25c499.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.732,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights42c485.59$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.021,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights42c342.69$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.582,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ac…d477backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights29c342.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.31020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c301.48$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1155840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c300.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15094036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights67c257.91$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.192,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights58c247$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.851,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights43c212$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9522050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils70c203.23$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3148051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights31c186.03$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8723331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights70c142.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.191,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0066…b477backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c133.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8418844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c132.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.513444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils77c130.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights24c130$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.840147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights25c121.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights25c99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2523948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils73c98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.546750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils74c94.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights24c64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.641,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights26c60.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.684,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451850%9 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0605…f941backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils70c53.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c50.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.74040%16 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.564322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils74c49.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9934947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4417661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights76c42.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1536942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.22951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef05…4d9fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights38c39.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.232927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36b…86d9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4831837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c19.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.461,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c16.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.572,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.