TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$678,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$694,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c581,923$288,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292,954.0135945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under52c250,025$130,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,012.59860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under49c223,119$109,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,328.079652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under49c85,245$41,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,770.288246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108d…b85dbacked Over52c39,975$20,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,078.395343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under50c22,222$11,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,11113154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under47c14,000$6,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,619.9542246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c12,400$6,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,075.9210441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Under49c12,245$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8008946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c6,000$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.9917050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96062451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under49c2,850$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.56144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22513735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under49c2,054$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,777$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.2212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over53c1,776$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.366445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under50c1,504$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c8…2564backed Under48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,128$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.15,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.985945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under50c982.08$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.0413851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Over53c877.81$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.332948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over48c820.8$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.824339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under49c816.59$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c656.8$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2621347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Under47c599.92$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under48c568.9$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0732146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under52c511.58$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.022839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under49c510$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.932751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c493.13$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2423,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under49c406.13$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19913444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Over53c311.47$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.241637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Under49c306.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under50c303.94$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9326740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Over50c300.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.233941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under49c299.72$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.846144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Over52c296.88$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.281540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under49c296.25$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.146238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c271.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6614151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over53c263.66$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.244344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Under51c258.08$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.933240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under48c257.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2935050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over52c243.14$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.719440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under48c199.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.991,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over53c186.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.893246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Over53c172.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.527450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under52c168.31$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.528750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Under52c159.71$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.054443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over52c155.59$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6813842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7517950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c146.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1989146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over51c129.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.545444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Over53c123.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.153043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under48c114.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over52c108$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.418547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98d…8fe0backed Under11c106.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.651442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick22cpaid+94.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Over53c100.21$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.263348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5538645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8f…1ee8backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c93.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8397447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.96653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over53c88.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.684146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5084…40a4backed Over53c87.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.312748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4921…2f23backed Under48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b17…a150backed Over53c72.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.381384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Over53c71.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.561250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x455b…2d47backed Over52c70.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.651952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…68f6backed Over53c67.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.791233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Over53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2632652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec71…70ebbacked Over54c61.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.571957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d8…111ebacked Over52c56.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.127955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7eb…28a9backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-74.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under47c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4934952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under50c47.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5819446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381d…818cbacked Under52c44.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…d269backed Under48c41.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf8…11b2backed Over53c40.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over52c34.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Under52c31.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.395648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Over50c27.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe03…bd7cbacked Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed Under52c23.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.051637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f2d…241bbacked Under48c22.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c4…e040backed Under52c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.441060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa20…7ec5backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…c19dbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.