TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Army Black Knightsof Bucknell Bison, Army Black Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$800,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$802,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $800,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Army Black Knights57c554,513$316,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238,442.2935945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bucknell Bison43c400,000$173,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,00089645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Bucknell Bison43c300,000$129,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,999.989652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Army Black Knights56c120,339$67,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,949.2921754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Army Black Knights57c81,500$46,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,045.34875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bucknell Bison43c38,540$16,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,572.0513649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucknell Bison44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,80090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Army Black Knights57c14,200$8,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,110.4910441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Bucknell Bison43c11,111$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.7313154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bucknell Bison43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3008946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Army Black Knights57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1505843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Bucknell Bison43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72062451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucknell Bison43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Army Black Knights57c2,990$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.7416954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Bucknell Bison1c2,768$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.683053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Army Black Knights56c2,716$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.0611555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Army Black Knights57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.5821248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Bucknell Bison44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Army Black Knights57c2,129$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.396445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Army Black Knights50c1,606$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.849856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Army Black Knights57c1,153$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.8241752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucknell Bison50c1,006$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Army Black Knights57c807.02$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.0255749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Bucknell Bison48c678.83$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.432839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Bucknell Bison50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25044146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8025…c036backed Bucknell Bison47c383.83$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.721926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Bucknell Bison47c353.14$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.982755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Army Black Knights57c319.32$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.314344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Army Black Knights56c279.1$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.839440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Army Black Knights57c250.88$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.885560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Bucknell Bison47c245.96$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.776238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Bucknell Bison48c245.27$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.936144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bucknell Bison11c188.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.063,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Army Black Knights57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Army Black Knights57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Army Black Knights57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.252450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d81…20c3backed Bucknell Bison44c170.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Army Black Knights57c169.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.887450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Army Black Knights57c161.76$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5611159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Army Black Knights56c142$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.485444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Army Black Knights56c142$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.483043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Bucknell Bison10c132.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2132751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Bucknell Bison46c119$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.323240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Army Black Knights57c118.23$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8419657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Bucknell Bison44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Army Black Knights57c106.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.774146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Bucknell Bison44c104.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.075339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Army Black Knights57c103.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4110049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Army Black Knights57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4315156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Army Black Knights57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7218656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Army Black Knights57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.417258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Bucknell Bison44c79.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9597447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Army Black Knights52c77.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.284,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d0…a380backed Army Black Knights57c74.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+103.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Army Black Knights57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1823754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Army Black Knights57c69.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.753348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Army Black Knights57c67.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.124955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Army Black Knights52c55.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Army Black Knights56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Army Black Knights57c52.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.644746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc502…7619backed Bucknell Bison44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Bucknell Bison47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6819653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Army Black Knights56c43.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0312341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Army Black Knights57c43.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.545950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Army Black Knights56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.67957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Bucknell Bison50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Army Black Knights56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.716755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Army Black Knights57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.098452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x381d…818cbacked Bucknell Bison48c34.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.541040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Army Black Knights57c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.457251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Army Black Knights57c32.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0911858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5084…40a4backed Army Black Knights57c31.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.492748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Bucknell Bison48c30.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.835648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Army Black Knights57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9277…2aedbacked Bucknell Bison47c29.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.041450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Bucknell Bison47c25.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213852.2%72 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Army Black Knights57c23.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1612560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Army Black Knights57c23.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.99257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Army Black Knights57c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.468547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Bucknell Bison47c21.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.124443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e92…18c4backed Army Black Knights57c21.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.292626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Army Black Knights57c18.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.025549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.