TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e92…18c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.97
Washington Huskies vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.48
Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)backed Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+76.6%+$9.29
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+91.1%+$13.66
Rhode Island Rams vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.65
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+67.5%+$8.58
Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.79
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.59
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 130.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.06
Spread: Delaware State Hornets (-3.5)backed Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Dartmouth Big Green (-1.5)backed Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: North Alabama Lions (-2.5)backed North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-8.5)backed Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
East Carolina Pirates vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.61
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.07
Sharks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+94.8%+$14.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.