Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a5b4aaf90633f463c53a088d871a8f64c4e4849e6fdcf271c39a2c8797b201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 188,942$100,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,128.96 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 143,586$67,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,100.81 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 49c | 40,470$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,469.61 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 24,422$12,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,210.81 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 22,500$10,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,875 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010.64 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 51c | 10,591$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.16 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 2,059$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.43 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,897$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 47c | 1,252$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.38 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 682.99$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Over | 53c | 640.45$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 47c | 253$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 242.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…579fbacked Over | 49c | 217.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 50c | 158.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 125.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 47c | 121.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 47c | 99.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 87.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 53c | 87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 51c | 79.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…4afebacked Over | 52c | 63.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 50c | 48.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked Over | 52c | 44.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 52c | 43.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Over | 50c | 40.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 48c | 37.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 48c | 37.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over | 49c | 30.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…18c4backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…6f40backed Under | 48c | 29.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 48c | 21.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Under | 48c | 21.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 137.5this page
- Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette LeopardsLafayette Leopards won
- Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Lafayette Leopards (-2.5)Lafayette Leopards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.