Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 132.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3928f120b81edb31701a6a847bdfb0acade43871348d883c9ae4059934e907d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $598,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 59c | 546,985$324,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,982.15 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 41c | 300,000$123,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 40c | 100,592$40,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,236.98 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 41c | 45,000$18,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,650 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 41c | 31,729$12,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,991.75 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,149.99 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 41c | 11,111$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.51 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 7,181$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 54c | 4,277$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.22 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Over | 59c | 4,076$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 40c | 3,648$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.3 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…b72fbacked Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 60c | 2,221$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.27 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 44c | 2,153$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.53 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,615$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 45c | 1,156$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.39 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 945.6$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.72 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 41c | 919.93$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.77 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 45c | 442.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 332.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 60c | 328.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 320$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 59c | 294.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 43c | 224.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 215.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Over | 60c | 148.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 60c | 122.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 43c | 122.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 42c | 115.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Over | 60c | 104.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 43c | 99.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 41c | 99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 60c | 82.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Under | 41c | 64.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 60c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 44c | 53.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 50.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed Over | 60c | 50.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…40a4backed Over | 60c | 46.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 44c | 45.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Under | 41c | 37.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Over | 60c | 31.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 60c | 29.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…18c4backed Over | 60c | 21.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 132.5this page
- Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Navy MidshipmenNavy Midshipmen won
- Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 131.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.