Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f796ef8bc2b9e9e99959231ccfde1f3ced0129e5f98000606d99e2b109a414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $544,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 55c | 534,753$294,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240,738.25 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 45c | 304,451$137,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,029.46 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 45c | 18,888$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.6 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 45c | 12,222$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.9 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 45c | 11,900$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 50c | 4,872$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.28 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 54c | 1,422$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 654$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.52 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 648.19$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…eec9backed Over | 52c | 589.91$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 404.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 327.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 203$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 86.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 48c | 79.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 48c | 69.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 48c | 37.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…18c4backed Under | 49c | 30.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 139.5this page
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian HuskiesHouston Christian Huskies won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 141.5Over won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Christian Huskies (-2.5)Houston Christian Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.