Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Houston Christian Huskies (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe605f5a17f9ca3e8aa6e4f0b3bd2687a96745bd6f782d6900e205be9cb9d44d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Christian Huskiesof Houston Christian Huskies, East Texas A&M Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $874,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,181,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $874,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed East Texas A&M Lions | 53c | 559,796$297,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297,011.51 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Houston Christian Huskies | 47c | 300,930$141,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,492.9 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 46c | 89,008$40,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,064.39 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Houston Christian Huskies | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 47c | 37,500$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Houston Christian Huskies | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 48c | 12,222$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,355.44 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Houston Christian Huskies | 47c | 11,100$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,883 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 49c | 10,704$5,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,439.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Houston Christian Huskies | 48c | 9,000$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Houston Christian Huskies | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 47c | 2,035$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.94 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 48c | 659.49$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Houston Christian Huskies | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Houston Christian Huskies | 48c | 139.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Houston Christian Huskies | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 50c | 76.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Houston Christian Huskies | 50c | 67.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Houston Christian Huskies | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Houston Christian Huskies | 50c | 43.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Houston Christian Huskies | 51c | 38.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c4…e040backed Houston Christian Huskies | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Houston Christian Huskies | 51c | 21.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Houston Christian Huskies | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed East Texas A&M Lions | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Christian Huskies (-2.5)this page
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian HuskiesHouston Christian Huskies won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 139.5Over won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 141.5Over won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.