Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x108c755dd83e255d4fe5ebf8e4da75929f2cd0625b5876efe4d9431ee2d9df16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Christian Huskiesof East Texas A&M Lions, Houston Christian Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed East Texas A&M Lions | 38c | 3,539$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.45 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 75c | 2,792$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 30c | 1,073$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.73 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Houston Christian Huskies | 62c | 1,059$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.71 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed East Texas A&M Lions | 3c | 1,013$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed East Texas A&M Lions | 2c | 798.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 58c | 631.1$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.17 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed East Texas A&M Lions | 7c | 364.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 60c | 253.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 40c | 233.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 44c | 172.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 57c | 59.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed Houston Christian Huskies | 69c | 50.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…1fcbbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Houston Christian Huskies | 44c | 40.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed East Texas A&M Lions | 55c | 26.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskiesthis page
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 139.5Over won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 141.5Over won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Christian Huskies (-2.5)Houston Christian Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.