TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$716,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$720,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $716,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under51c614,609$310,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303,951.7120354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Over49c361,989$177,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177,374.793053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over50c78,232$39,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,116.2238748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over49c60,000$29,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,50010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under50c38,734$19,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,241.5419555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c33,091$16,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,98056152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,2501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c20,513$10,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,305.62,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over51c15,555$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,899.727949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c12,895$6,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,621.521,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c12,782$6,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,498.931,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c9,484$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.422,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Over50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over50c7,477$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.633953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c6,200$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,03826058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over50c4,996$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.1421036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd837…85d2backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over50c2,883$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.414346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c2,304$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.5685250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c2,076$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.742,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked Over50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c1,948$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c1,873$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.071,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c1,853$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.0361953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Under50c1,836$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.0424654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over50c1,826$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.0528251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over51c1,812$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.8860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over32c1,263$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.7611153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over19c1,218$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1816738.9%65 W · 102 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under54c1,162$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.4717057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under50c1,154$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5771,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c1,011$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.6186852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under49c613$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6347051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over51c607.84$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31021549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over15c572$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.962,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under48c490$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over48c416.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4612943.4%56 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under49c409.96$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.081952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under68c331$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9247256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Under50c315.09$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.553953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Over50c300.82$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15920444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over50c271.41$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7160449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over23c269.74$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Under64c267.77$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.158843.2%38 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over23c257.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.143,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over36c242.77$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.410667.9%72 W · 34 L+16.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under55c224.46$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.551,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Under49c219.39$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.895763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10630952.4%162 W · 147 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over18c194.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0429412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Over51c177.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over46c169.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.146450%32 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7548046.9%225 W · 255 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over46c149.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under48c144.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9143250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Over18c144.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5411840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over36c135$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.211,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over12c120$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.415354.9%84 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Under48c109.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.958645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over51c108.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.112060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Over50c105.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.381861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505054%27 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101076.5%7 W · 100 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Over51c94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.082540%10 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under52c89.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0115155%83 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0819…fbb3backed Under59c82.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick74cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over30c77.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.572,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07a6…ca7dbacked Under66c75.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.641457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc4d…e0d0backed Under65c73.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.95977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0b…00d8backed Under68c73.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.421283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over35c72.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc931…6873backed Under69c72.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.371291.7%11 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick76cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…7245backed Under69c72.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.371181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a7…b3f8backed Under70c71.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick75cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91d7…5457backed Under70c71.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331258.3%7 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick75cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e92…50bfbacked Under74c67.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51566.7%10 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Over51c65.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.794557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…3c26backed Under68c64.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.511070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x809a…587dbacked Under79c63.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick75cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b8d…fdeebacked Under79c63.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick75cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1992…be7abacked Under79c63.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241566.7%10 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7622…542bbacked Under79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.231353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick74cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b76…0ad6backed Under79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.231266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x951c…797abacked Under80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9522…8fa7backed Under80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451675%12 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7d5cbacked Under76c61.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.871450%7 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.114445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212445.2%56 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b6…da83backed Under69c59.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick76cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6a1…3b93backed Under51c55.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.