NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c69d29c52d42fc2d783535ab2e150e286878d351bdc6dbac88621fb107cc2a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Panthers, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Panthers | 42c | 6,767$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.12 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Panthers | 40c | 5,625$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.52 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Sharks | 60c | 5,017$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.9 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Sharks | 58c | 2,379$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sharks | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 58c | 1,121$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.82 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Sharks | 58c | 637.93$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 58c | 627.23$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sharks | 58c | 541.16$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.29 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Sharks | 59c | 481$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 63c | 480$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Panthers | 41c | 318$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Panthers | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Panthers | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Sharks | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers | 40c | 144.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Sharks | 58c | 134.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Panthers | 36c | 111.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Panthers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sharks | 60c | 99.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Panthers | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Sharks | 55c | 66.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Panthers | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Sharks | 58c | 51.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Sharks | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Panthers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Panthers | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Panthers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Panthers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Panthers | 41c | 43.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Panthers | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 38c | 42.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Sharks | 59c | 41.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Sharks | 60c | 41.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Sharks | 58c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Sharks vs. PanthersSharks won
- Sharks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.