TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Sharks, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,214,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,245,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,214,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 889 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Panthers61c481,332$294,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294,094.1856152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed Sharks39c479,509$187,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292,500.344654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Sharks38c50,861$19,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,775.8110840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Sharks39c50,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,499.9348545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Panthers64c28,155$17,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,919.3616656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Sharks39c23,846$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,546.069548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers62c23,335$14,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,434.611,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers61c19,550$11,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,925.6579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Panthers61c18,888$11,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,521.6321850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Sharks36c15,307$5,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,796.3511052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Panthers18c13,247$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.4832744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Sharks38c13,158$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,157.898247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers63c12,999$8,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,188.1147951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks37c12,317$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,815.981,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Sharks39c12,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,32014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Panthers61c11,111$6,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,777.7113363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Sharks37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.9925449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Sharks39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.9951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Panthers0c9,773$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Panthers64c9,375$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Sharks36c9,200$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,88833243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks63c8,865$5,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.091,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Panthers0c8,679$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.122504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Sharks37c7,814$2,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,922.7313449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers62c7,775$4,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,806.141,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Panthers61c7,700$4,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,69726058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers4c7,676$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.2789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Panthers61c7,650$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.498453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers52c7,578$3,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.352,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Sharks40c7,380$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,42853050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Sharks47c7,034$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.1985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Panthers64c7,031$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ce…d5f9backed Panthers64c6,879$4,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,402.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Sharks37c6,806$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,284.8226849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks36c6,500$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1601,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd837…85d2backed Sharks37c6,500$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Panthers62c6,019$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.7814753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Panthers61c6,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,66033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Panthers61c6,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,66013655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers0c6,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Panthers62c5,300$3,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,28613553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x429d…6f04backed Panthers61c5,181$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Panthers61c5,012$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.445052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Panthers61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Sharks37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1503560%21 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Panthers61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Panthers61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.9315145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Panthers62c4,830$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers62c4,738$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.361,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Panthers63c4,738$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Panthers61c4,680$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.3526955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d5…6575backed Panthers62c4,606$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8561020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks39c4,500$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,74568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Sharks41c4,470$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.318650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Sharks57c4,417$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.7215057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Sharks38c4,102$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.3417057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Sharks38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.929651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked Panthers62c3,944$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.493764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sharks52c3,827$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.671,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Panthers61c3,752$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.7214848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers61c3,664$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.0430551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Sharks36c3,646$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.219051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Panthers63c3,643$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.531753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Panthers61c3,428$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.9221755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Panthers61c3,398$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07321549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panthers62c3,270$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.942,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Panthers61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers59c2,684$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.752,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Sharks39c2,556$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.847138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Panthers61c2,510$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.16653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Sharks38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5504057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Panthers60c2,484$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.3713948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Panthers61c2,429$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.5424654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers18c2,413$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.261,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Sharks38c2,400$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Panthers64c2,348$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Panthers62c2,320$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.161,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Panthers63c2,256$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.41,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Panthers62c2,239$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3881428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers62c2,200$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.0960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Panthers62c2,113$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3108253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Panthers61c2,106$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.7693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Sharks37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2604346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Sharks51c1,951$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.466253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panthers42c1,938$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.4199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Sharks39c1,923$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.085736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Sharks39c1,885$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.6218547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Panthers61c1,818$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1095855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks38c1,800$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.9724845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Panthers63c1,719$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.743548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers41c1,713$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.491,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Sharks35c1,666$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks37c1,632$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.5660337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Panthers63c1,556$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Panthers62c1,548$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.7557157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Sharks72c1,521$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.881,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Panthers62c1,515$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.44965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Panthers62c1,505$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.3110848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Sharks37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9936038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Panthers63c1,498$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.3462249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.