TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2325…3256

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst Boxing at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT7357.5%42 W · 31 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22.61
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.89
Red Wings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.48
Sabres vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.63
Rangers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.28
Islanders vs. Krakenbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+67.5%+$16.86
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.21
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$15.69
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$27.06
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+138.1%+$38.67
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.43
Blues vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$14.09
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.47
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.59
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.35
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.59
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$204.7
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.5
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.62
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.77
Spread: Kennesaw State Owls (-1.5)backed Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$59.48
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96%+$71.4
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.26
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-2.5)backed Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.26
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-3.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$48.98
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.24
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.03
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42%+$239.85
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.66
Spread: Idaho Vandals (-2.5)backed Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+76%+$307.3
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-12.5)backed Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Spread: Houston Cougars (-1.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$51.55
San Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.39
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-2.5)backed Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST4250%21 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$16.65
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Lions (-2.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.77
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Spread: Chargers (-2.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Ravens vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$16.65
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$20.58
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Spread: San Diego State (-10.5)backed San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Utah (-17.5)backed Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.77
Spread: BYU (-3.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Spread: San Diego State (-6.5)backed San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Miami (-10.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$14.73
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Iowa State (-2.5)backed Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Duke vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Texas (-6.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+62.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$18.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New England Revolution vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+284.1%+$113.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.