NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe790bb167ea544f2437d07124c293910659082d5d214f57b8d946ca199e5749a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Trail Blazers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,399.9 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…18c5backed Suns | 51c | 59,866$30,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,334.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 54c | 4,071$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 3,999$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.55 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.95 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Suns | 54c | 2,015$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.81 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Suns | 50c | 1,425$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…b202backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…837ebacked Suns | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Suns | 53c | 1,101$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.47 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 964.2$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.34 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 941.23$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Suns | 50c | 913$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Suns | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 470.37$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.37 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 406.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.29 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Suns | 50c | 404$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Suns | 51c | 394$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Suns | 53c | 317.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Suns | 51c | 273.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Suns | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Suns | 52c | 239.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Suns | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Suns | 52c | 193.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 149.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 144.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Suns | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Suns | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 103.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Suns | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Suns | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 79.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…f276backed Suns | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…5916backed Suns | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Suns | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Suns | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Suns | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 46.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7283…f4abbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…1b97backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 30.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Suns | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Suns | 53c | 27.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 26.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Suns | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Suns | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 23.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Suns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Trail BlazersSuns won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.