NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42fca73694622b10664e55a023ee9673b039e1da802e548f6b31c85e427f2cc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 8,801$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 8,553$4,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,447.38 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 5,967$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 5,377$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.86 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 4,964$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.19 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 4,471$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.18 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 49c | 1,932$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.32 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 51c | 1,811$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.27 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 50c | 960$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Under | 48c | 833.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 645.33$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Over | 48c | 475$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 430.96$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 50c | 430.96$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Over | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 52c | 359.43$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Over | 55c | 255.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 227.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 52c | 211$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…37b4backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 128.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…7e6bbacked Over | 38c | 117$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Under | 66c | 105.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 442 | 43.7%193 W · 249 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Under | 50c | 98.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 36c | 97.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 83.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…7089backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…b4c8backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 45c | 53.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 73c | 52.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 44c | 52.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aab…f908backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…7701backed Over | 53c | 37.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Over | 65c | 34.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Over | 37c | 27.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 50c | 25.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Over | 59c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5this page
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Trail BlazersSuns won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.