TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9aab…f908

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST5151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21.38
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$7.5
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Knicks vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Celticsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$187.65
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$13.52
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$530.03
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$87.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$331.27
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+143.4%+$605.38
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.4
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+240.9%+$96.36
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$98.72
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$71
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$14.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+151.1%+$60.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.7%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.