TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Grizzlies, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,131,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,206,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,131,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Spurs68c1,030,348$701,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328,446.048022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Grizzlies32c535,549$171,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,375.5415443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Grizzlies32c273,537$87,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,031.884544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Spurs68c71,695$48,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,150.5320253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Spurs59c60,000$35,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,45038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Grizzlies33c60,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,80017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies32c45,468$14,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,549.711,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies40c43,742$17,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,460.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Grizzlies31c40,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,40024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies32c33,047$10,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,575.151,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs64c31,275$20,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,234.7234062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Grizzlies32c30,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60019351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies32c29,487$9,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,581.921,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies32c29,414$9,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,412.361,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Grizzlies32c24,000$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6808939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Spurs68c20,334$13,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,506.813455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies32c20,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies37c18,919$7,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,044.7626038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ba…ab22backed Grizzlies49c16,922$8,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,218.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Grizzlies31c15,858$4,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,912.7337557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Grizzlies31c15,768$4,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,903.631050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Spurs69c15,000$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,65048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies32c14,961$4,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,772.512,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Grizzlies33c14,730$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.38744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs67c13,364$8,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,368.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Grizzlies32c13,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,16045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs68c12,500$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,949.8973649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs63c12,243$7,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,525.161,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies10c12,141$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.9481529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs70c11,615$8,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.932,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies39c11,323$4,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,446.4685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Grizzlies33c11,078$3,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,655.6920352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Grizzlies31c9,844$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.596352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs66c9,500$6,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.9878445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Grizzlies45c8,893$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.281747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Spurs60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies30c7,921$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.692,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs62c7,766$4,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.71,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Spurs72c7,509$5,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.8429458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Grizzlies31c7,053$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.364725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Grizzlies31c6,411$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.3259653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Spurs68c6,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Grizzlies33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9808863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x165f…ebaebacked Grizzlies25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies31c5,923$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.382,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies29c5,627$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.341,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies39c5,530$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.861,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Grizzlies31c5,430$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.3927840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Grizzlies31c5,150$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.474621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies30c5,127$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.21,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x063a…eb4bbacked Grizzlies32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9466250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e92…26debacked Spurs68c4,951$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.476100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Grizzlies32c4,833$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.5628850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked Spurs55c4,774$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.183844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grizzlies17c4,690$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.7148845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Spurs69c4,680$3,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.87468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Spurs53c4,550$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.339131.9%29 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies15c4,350$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies9c4,178$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.791,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1089…830ebacked Grizzlies33c3,733$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2324533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies36c3,644$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.611,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies36c3,544$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Grizzlies22c3,497$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.643036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies42c3,381$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.325,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Grizzlies35c3,359$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.1950838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies30c3,241$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a0…4a02backed Spurs57c3,139$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Grizzlies32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-57.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Grizzlies45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Spurs56c3,000$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31027917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Spurs70c2,951$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.315461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Spurs68c2,942$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.446152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Spurs68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.187050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Spurs68c2,875$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.2715945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Grizzlies32c2,864$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.61861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Spurs69c2,772$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.321650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Spurs69c2,748$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9324330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Spurs62c2,735$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.2627161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs70c2,504$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.291,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies1c2,500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Grizzlies42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Grizzlies30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.999855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs68c2,460$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.2692753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies31c2,357$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.571,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Spurs64c2,350$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84635547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Grizzlies31c2,330$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.4235651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Grizzlies30c2,314$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.137957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Spurs53c2,309$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.3717147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Spurs70c2,300$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6904951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Grizzlies30c2,300$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.581,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Spurs77c2,290$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7129858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Spurs57c2,282$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.3115274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs63c2,249$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.121,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Spurs68c2,227$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.432,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126b…a516backed Spurs69c2,217$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.132128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Spurs62c2,200$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies21c2,152$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.131,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Spurs73c2,130$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58019388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xa24f…593dbacked Grizzlies8c2,063$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.