TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,058 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies46c12,484$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs55c5,424$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.582,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Spurs53c5,194$2,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.052,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies48c3,869$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8731,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies48c3,015$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies46c2,585$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.672,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Spurs53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17528850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Spurs53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.427158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Spurs54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9314156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fab…ba37backed Spurs54c868.15$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3e…1726backed Spurs55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies49c536$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…adf9backed Spurs53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Grizzlies48c450$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21644648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Spurs53c418.87$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8739051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Spurs55c370$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.523553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed Spurs53c330.67$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7214452.1%75 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies46c319.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.764,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e13…732fbacked Spurs53c303$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.416648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies45c273.33$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Spurs50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.920143.3%87 W · 114 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Spurs53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6812550.4%63 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Spurs53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…9cf9backed Spurs54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Spurs54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1924055.4%133 W · 107 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4f1…f0e8backed Spurs54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198155.6%45 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Spurs53c166.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0435851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Spurs54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6954951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Spurs54c147$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6214953%79 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Grizzlies49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Grizzlies45c134.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5937750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs55c131$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.952,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fb…16d8backed Spurs54c128.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.211942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Spurs53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.214841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Grizzlies66c106.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs34c106.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Grizzlies47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.411650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Spurs12c102.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0918554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09e3…cf81backed Spurs54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4618955%104 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ce…14b4backed Spurs52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4812157%69 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Spurs53c99.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7813550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Spurs53c96.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.238645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3175…5916backed Spurs53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Spurs53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Spurs53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3420444.6%91 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd64…c090backed Spurs53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6cc…18cebacked Spurs56c94.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.398344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Spurs54c93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7813358.6%78 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Spurs52c92.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.313748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies47c89.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.973,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Grizzlies47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.481,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Spurs53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.68450%42 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b88…748cbacked Spurs53c73.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.717454.1%40 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies45c72.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.731,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b2…3886backed Spurs55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.734452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Grizzlies47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.844429.5%13 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Spurs56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4311251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Spurs56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4310253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Spurs53c69.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.818146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x895d…4970backed Spurs55c65.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4512646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f91…7c76backed Grizzlies47c59.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.199852%51 W · 47 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab2…5735backed Spurs53c56.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.648741.4%36 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Spurs53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.615752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Spurs53c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.753,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…8c9bbacked Spurs53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Spurs53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1740853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed Spurs53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.179851%50 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555e…6bb8backed Spurs53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Spurs53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5114654.8%80 W · 66 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies47c40.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.092,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Spurs53c38.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1411361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a2…0c1abacked Spurs53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7410447.1%49 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f1…1744backed Spurs54c37.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.313946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Spurs54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0418742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Spurs54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0417644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaecc…eb20backed Spurs54c28.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.391442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies46c28.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.242,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4aa…947cbacked Spurs53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa26…c10abacked Spurs53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a96…ec68backed Spurs53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1acc…35b7backed Spurs54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.783863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c5…0decbacked Spurs56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.792055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc76…d76dbacked Grizzlies48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b8…68a5backed Spurs53c23.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.936556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Spurs53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.44459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Spurs55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914445.8%66 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.