NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c9db7a432c1a625ba3ca6d92ae2ae8b063bc55d6bfb5c5e488e58a3564abf81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 25,336$13,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,174.81 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Grizzlies | 51c | 17,931$9,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,203.74 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Grizzlies | 52c | 16,467$8,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,631.58 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Spurs | 47c | 16,059$7,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,473.41 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Spurs | 49c | 13,070$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670.18 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Spurs | 48c | 10,508$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,464.16 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 8,273$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.8 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Spurs | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 48c | 5,025$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Grizzlies | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 47c | 4,183$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.11 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Spurs | 48c | 3,577$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.27 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,308$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 48c | 3,267$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Spurs | 47c | 2,947$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.33 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 47c | 2,853$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 52c | 2,500$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.96 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 48c | 2,032$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,500$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.75 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Spurs | 48c | 979.17$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.17 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Grizzlies | 52c | 890.07$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.84 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…87fdbacked Spurs | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Spurs | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Spurs | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Grizzlies | 53c | 431.81$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.86 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…8688backed Grizzlies | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 48c | 350.71$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.19 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 49c | 349.38$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…9ec4backed Spurs | 48c | 314.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Spurs | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…18c5backed Spurs | 47c | 287.87$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Grizzlies | 51c | 259.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Grizzlies | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…45d3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…09f0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 187.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Spurs | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies | 49c | 136.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 49c | 130$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Spurs | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Spurs | 48c | 127$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Grizzlies | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Spurs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Grizzlies | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Spurs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Grizzlies | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Spurs | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Spurs | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed Grizzlies | 63c | 78.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Spurs | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…6bc8backed Spurs | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Spurs | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Spurs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Grizzlies | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Grizzlies | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…c9c8backed Grizzlies | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Spurs | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…025dbacked Spurs | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Grizzlies | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Spurs | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Spurs | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Spurs | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Spurs | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Spurs | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spurs | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…150cbacked Spurs | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…4d91backed Spurs | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…0588backed Spurs | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Spurs | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…7a09backed Spurs | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 51c | 24.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Spurs | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. SpursSpurs won
- Grizzlies vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Grizzlies vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.