TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94a2…0c1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10447.1%49 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+293.7%+$58.74
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.94
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.38
Spread: Raptors (-11.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT6055%33 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+36.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$161.82
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$14.78
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$46.62
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$34.36
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.35
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.75
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$81.39
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33.56
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$26.1
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.