TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof XLG Gaming, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG74c55,854$41,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,759.2452155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked XLG Gaming26c40,451$10,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,586.919046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked NRG68c29,196$19,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,201.8317948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked XLG Gaming34c20,002$6,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,736.5928955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed XLG Gaming32c19,800$6,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed NRG70c15,013$10,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.8310455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked XLG Gaming30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.978951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed XLG Gaming30c8,201$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.251749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed NRG70c7,549$5,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked XLG Gaming29c6,806$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.265358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked NRG69c6,677$4,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.741346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed NRG74c6,419$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.0433346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed XLG Gaming31c6,391$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.5511747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcadf…1f60backed NRG69c5,855$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.152867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed XLG Gaming26c5,370$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.426050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed XLG Gaming22c4,527$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.7539042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed NRG73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.5934857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed NRG61c4,080$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.8425554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed XLG Gaming30c3,533$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.8619860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked XLG Gaming22c3,000$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6456931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked XLG Gaming21c2,940$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6321030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed XLG Gaming31c2,613$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002245.5%10 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+241.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed XLG Gaming22c2,552$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.474168.3%28 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed XLG Gaming38c2,526$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.0325660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed XLG Gaming28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70041734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked NRG70c2,434$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.233153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed NRG79c2,432$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked XLG Gaming27c2,362$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.4610238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed NRG69c2,239$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.1315843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG74c2,235$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.9778162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG77c2,233$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.9528541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a1c…b465backed NRG69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.943770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed XLG Gaming31c2,038$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.924348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked XLG Gaming24c2,027$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.5553355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NRG61c1,890$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.1615343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed NRG69c1,681$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.093756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed XLG Gaming31c1,600$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4965244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed XLG Gaming31c1,508$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5713642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked XLG Gaming28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-64.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed NRG70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed XLG Gaming22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33032152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed XLG Gaming27c1,499$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed NRG70c1,467$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.721080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd766…24e6backed NRG70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.572951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed XLG Gaming25c1,420$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4556357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed NRG71c1,403$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.936848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed XLG Gaming27c1,337$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.995846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…efbebacked XLG Gaming7c1,301$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.771827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked XLG Gaming28c1,298$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.672236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed NRG79c1,278$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.141241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed XLG Gaming16c1,240$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.256551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed XLG Gaming27c1,218$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.256259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked XLG Gaming27c1,169$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6711450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG73c1,142$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.3186747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b2…90c3backed XLG Gaming27c1,071$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.131428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked NRG61c1,031$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5317653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed XLG Gaming39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed NRG69c1,010$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65f7…86ddbacked XLG Gaming31c999.86$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.962343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked XLG Gaming30c929.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.533423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed NRG69c920$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked XLG Gaming25c907.7$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7310951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked NRG72c904.94$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.792564%16 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed XLG Gaming26c900$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23424250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed XLG Gaming39c897.44$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed XLG Gaming27c868.43$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2193148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming21c819.79$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.311,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed NRG61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-72.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked NRG69c788$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.281435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked XLG Gaming18c787.79$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5468458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed XLG Gaming21c786.78$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4232462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf16a…735dbacked NRG73c772.68$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed NRG69c758.93$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.496750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed NRG78c749.99$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16514645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed XLG Gaming30c719.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.318143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed XLG Gaming30c708.92$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.143141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed XLG Gaming30c688.02$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked XLG Gaming26c683.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8210455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed NRG75c664$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6215973%116 W · 43 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ecc…4521backed NRG61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed NRG61c648$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.772846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked NRG76c647.59$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0942140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG61c647$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4466438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked XLG Gaming26c641.81$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.121,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed NRG70c640.66$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.219257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed XLG Gaming28c624.21$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7812138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed XLG Gaming30c603.72$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1225556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked NRG79c596.3$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5613759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae65…a4c2backed XLG Gaming22c595.65$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed XLG Gaming27c594.94$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.344342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked XLG Gaming26c573.58$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1325336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed XLG Gaming11c572.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4132245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NRG79c571.74$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7560154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed NRG70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4323151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked XLG Gaming31c550$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.51533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked XLG Gaming31c540.55$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.572751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed NRG70c534.73$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.426040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed XLG Gaming29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG72c504.22$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1862156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed XLG Gaming17c500.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.773447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.