Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322191f1b129d890f66e9839cca6943e4b04d595c5600da422163943a9dbe131
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof XLG Gaming, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG | 74c | 25,000$18,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,590.43 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed NRG | 68c | 10,610$7,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.45 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked XLG Gaming | 27c | 8,374$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.59 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked XLG Gaming | 32c | 7,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked XLG Gaming | 26c | 5,104$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.22 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 3,394$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked XLG Gaming | 26c | 2,522$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.72 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed XLG Gaming | 29c | 1,680$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.03 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 1,329$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.54 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked XLG Gaming | 29c | 1,307$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.11 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed XLG Gaming | 2c | 1,101$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed XLG Gaming | 28c | 1,024$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed XLG Gaming | 26c | 713.8$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed XLG Gaming | 23c | 680.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed XLG Gaming | 9c | 664.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 221 | 18.1%40 W · 181 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked XLG Gaming | 28c | 628.57$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked XLG Gaming | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…f6c9backed XLG Gaming | 3c | 573$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed XLG Gaming | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed XLG Gaming | 21c | 488.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming | 13c | 480$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked XLG Gaming | 13c | 417.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG | 76c | 392.07$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed XLG Gaming | 18c | 367.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed XLG Gaming | 27c | 364$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed XLG Gaming | 26c | 306.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NRG | 69c | 253.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 257 | 61.1%157 W · 100 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed XLG Gaming | 31c | 218.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed NRG | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming | 30c | 180$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked NRG | 64c | 177.78$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked NRG | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 142.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming | 23c | 141$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…b8bcbacked NRG | 80c | 131.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked NRG | 71c | 122$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed XLG Gaming | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 444 | 41.9%186 W · 258 L | -22.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed NRG | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 434 | 59.2%257 W · 177 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked XLG Gaming | 36c | 108.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed NRG | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed NRG | 75c | 98.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed XLG Gaming | 28c | 85.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked XLG Gaming | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NRG | 66c | 82.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ea…df21backed NRG | 73c | 81.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked XLG Gaming | 31c | 80.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked NRG | 73c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed NRG | 70c | 71.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked XLG Gaming | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed XLG Gaming | 16c | 69.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed NRG | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked XLG Gaming | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked XLG Gaming | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed XLG Gaming | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed XLG Gaming | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed XLG Gaming | 22c | 54.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked XLG Gaming | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG | 77c | 50.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…a27abacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 44.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed NRG | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea69…0a9bbacked XLG Gaming | 31c | 44.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed NRG | 75c | 42.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked NRG | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…202ebacked NRG | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked NRG | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked NRG | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed NRG | 67c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageNRG won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.