TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof XLG Gaming, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG48c60,558$29,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,545.3252155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming35c15,764$5,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,509.3524145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked XLG Gaming59c11,899$7,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,061.0868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG49c11,050$5,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,683.4778162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed XLG Gaming63c10,000$6,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,268.1653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed XLG Gaming59c9,988$5,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,903.176259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked XLG Gaming57c9,969$5,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,728.3365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked XLG Gaming59c9,752$5,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,764.153355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed XLG Gaming55c9,484$5,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,245.7356357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked XLG Gaming45c8,622$3,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,882.4219046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG29c5,756$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.381,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG50c5,045$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.0328541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked XLG Gaming48c5,001$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.319248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked XLG Gaming62c4,571$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.2578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd766…24e6backed NRG45c3,359$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.52951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed NRG68c3,259$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.5534857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed XLG Gaming60c2,606$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.140944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed NRG41c2,532$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.067934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed XLG Gaming66c2,178$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.746746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked NRG51c1,930$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1714534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed XLG Gaming60c1,816$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7525752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed NRG62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57032047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked NRG64c1,363$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.8217948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG34c1,156$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.31,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG43c1,151$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.931,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked NRG36c1,147$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.3915342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked XLG Gaming36c1,115$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4211450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed NRG49c1,052$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.8814443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed XLG Gaming59c938.13$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.629151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG37c895.17$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.391,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed XLG Gaming32c814$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2514750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed NRG46c813.84$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.3842540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f0…6e95backed XLG Gaming39c670$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming46c653$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG44c596.98$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.711,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NRG39c496.22$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.0196245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c2…db78backed NRG60c474.55$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed XLG Gaming52c472.29$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3723836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed NRG36c469.27$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8631634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed NRG47c413.42$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.136040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked NRG34c363.68$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4840731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked XLG Gaming53c361.15$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8342140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed NRG35c349.58$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.484047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed NRG58c309$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7822455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd924…d06dbacked XLG Gaming65c303.2$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd57b…7358backed NRG52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed NRG34c281.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6115358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9829…f791backed NRG61c280.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked NRG36c279.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.941369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d6…89abbacked NRG54c278.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.81315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NRG40c272.56$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7490733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6c0…d689backed XLG Gaming38c265.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed NRG61c251.93$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3853442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked NRG23c250$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.536648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed XLG Gaming36c240$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.428241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG44c239.42$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0451749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed NRG61c232.91$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6210566.7%70 W · 35 L+10.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked XLG Gaming72c231.12$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5217353.8%93 W · 80 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming57c224.84$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.391,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming49c213.58$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.461,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed NRG32c211.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8628151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed XLG Gaming31c201.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8693148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed XLG Gaming20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed NRG38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12418049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed NRG59c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.543059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed NRG40c177.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.56637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked XLG Gaming51c167.78$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7712147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe132…abf3backed XLG Gaming54c160.37$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.479952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked NRG67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2562856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked XLG Gaming49c138.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6818261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked XLG Gaming38c132.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG41c130.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6984838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb83b…0ed8backed NRG44c128.61$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+102.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed XLG Gaming69c128.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8faa…e76abacked NRG49c120.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.515642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed NRG45c112.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6214737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed XLG Gaming37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a1…f88bbacked NRG58c103.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.28936%32 W · 57 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked XLG Gaming45c101.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed NRG40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0819439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed NRG62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…bdebbacked NRG18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825115.7%8 W · 43 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked NRG11c99.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.996137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked NRG63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9933947.8%162 W · 177 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed XLG Gaming78c98.29$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8239166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea69…0a9bbacked XLG Gaming49c90.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.333438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36.5%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked XLG Gaming56c85.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked NRG64c82.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.757356.2%41 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d5…2c23backed XLG Gaming68c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.411367.3%76 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked XLG Gaming75c74.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.716053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked XLG Gaming37c72.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5943…869ebacked XLG Gaming55c72.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90a…f6b5backed XLG Gaming53c61.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.741369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed XLG Gaming50c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.744065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed NRG49c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5699846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked XLG Gaming65c56.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9242051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb86d…8b8fbacked NRG44c56.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9c…f77dbacked NRG36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed NRG59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8521257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked NRG60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9911149.5%55 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.