TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd57b…7358

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT14858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$279.61
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$322.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$466.22
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.27
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$100.4
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.48
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$89.15
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+166.5%+$88.47
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.52
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$401.54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$416.62
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.47
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.45
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$61.12
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$310.98
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.06
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.81
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.49
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$55.41
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT5766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64.62
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$30.69
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48.22
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.52
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.68
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$39.13
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.12
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$846.79
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.77
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.99
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$59
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$233.22
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$121.48
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$32.47
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$149
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$373.58
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$186
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$202.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+55%+$54
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.99
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$405.83
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$110
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$306
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.