TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of M80, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$470,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$512,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Sharks43c95,500$41,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,519.9110142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed M8056c75,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,999.9417951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sharks44c28,938$12,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,775.095,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Sharks44c28,000$12,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,32023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sharks19c27,882$5,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,419.241,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed M8056c21,196$11,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,326.4515947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed M8057c21,000$11,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,03050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked M8056c16,699$9,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,284.0564852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed M8055c15,613$8,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,025.7341649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Sharks17c15,555$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.3333343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sharks42c10,612$4,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.812,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked M8067c9,292$6,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.3141040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked M8069c8,866$6,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.2334559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed M8057c8,780$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.419455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Sharks24c8,639$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10020448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked M8056c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.9928538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed M8079c7,985$6,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.215,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed M8056c7,777$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.8567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sharks44c6,502$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.7566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2a…4af4backed Sharks0c6,352$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked M8056c6,330$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.3259839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sharks44c5,680$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.260248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Sharks44c5,675$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.8835153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Sharks19c5,659$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.6930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Sharks25c5,315$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.5510361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked M8057c5,300$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27936453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Sharks45c5,050$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.0810136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked M8080c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00021655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Sharks42c4,989$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.5629046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked M8057c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7202356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked M8057c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.9617540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked M8079c3,164$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.963,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Sharks45c3,121$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed M8074c3,061$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.3288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7926…2d97backed Sharks21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9970%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5667…8ca3backed M8057c2,982$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.462454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Sharks15c2,900$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed M8057c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.5819055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed M8080c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50014362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8056c2,345$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.391,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Sharks44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Sharks31c2,221$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.2410635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Sharks39c2,217$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.612334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc16…4b2fbacked Sharks39c2,199$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.89616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-67.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed M8057c2,020$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.612154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed M8077c2,000$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.284,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c45…d5b2backed Sharks16c1,935$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed Sharks8c1,900$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.039635.4%34 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Sharks44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79243951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Sharks44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79226054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked M8074c1,767$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.331,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed M8075c1,750$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.031,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Sharks43c1,744$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9913732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sharks43c1,700$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7311,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed M8077c1,670$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.812,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked M8059c1,665$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.511656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sharks43c1,613$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.5755843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Sharks4c1,573$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0851942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Sharks15c1,541$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5744957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked M8073c1,500$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.442,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked M8073c1,500$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.253,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Sharks44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6608051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Sharks20c1,465$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Sharks22c1,462$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9822449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Sharks18c1,460$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2644,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked M8057c1,447$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.3712143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked M8059c1,419$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.614963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed Sharks44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61614544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435c…170fbacked M8071c1,399$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Sharks41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Sharks44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52825145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Sharks31c1,200$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9929839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed M8067c1,179$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.3842638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed M8077c1,125$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Sharks18c1,120$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6221346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Sharks43c1,118$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.7813234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked M8075c1,068$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.941,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Sharks24c1,063$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.065,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Sharks43c1,060$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.81,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed M8077c1,040$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.052,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Sharks43c1,037$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.175450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Sharks43c1,001$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.4616544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sharks41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed M8057c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43018547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed M8055c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Sharks42c999.99$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0139548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Sharks17c999.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked M8056c999.97$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.9849849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Sharks29c963.62$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7148319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Sharks17c923.18$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.341,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked M8057c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38722266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked M8057c888$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Sharks32c870.38$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3116036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed M8058c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0727657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Sharks29c836$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4416720.4%34 W · 133 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Sharks44c813.95$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1459755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Sharks44c813.95$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1446555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed M8056c799.99$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35276546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked M8057c794$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0719457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Sharks44c766.82$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4811952.9%63 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.