TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Fnatic, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Fnatic69c28,434$19,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,488.4478162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Karmine Corp27c15,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,949.995358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Karmine Corp27c15,000$4,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,954.2529255.8%163 W · 129 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Fnatic20c8,089$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.8560423%139 W · 465 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Karmine Corp30c6,983$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.0625855.4%143 W · 115 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp62c6,658$4,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.8619960.3%120 W · 79 L+17.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Karmine Corp43c6,451$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,687.9710863%68 W · 40 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5d63…aea3backed Fnatic41c6,150$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Karmine Corp30c5,151$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605.3928847.6%137 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b37…1f70backed Fnatic73c5,137$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750.0111159.5%66 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp27c5,112$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731.7239142.5%166 W · 225 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50019046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Karmine Corp49c3,206$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.429371%66 W · 27 L+15.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Fnatic17c3,002$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.087455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp27c3,000$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.7842035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Fnatic70c2,398$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.7352455.2%289 W · 235 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Karmine Corp64c2,322$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.244755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Fnatic35c2,094$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.716133.5%54 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Fnatic47c2,091$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.8342540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a1c…b465backed Fnatic73c2,055$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.153770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Karmine Corp50c1,900$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.532231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Fnatic75c1,799$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Fnatic70c1,700$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.945160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Fnatic3c1,635$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.519648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Karmine Corp28c1,533$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.8411255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Fnatic44c1,525$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.3335142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Fnatic73c1,466$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.187655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed Fnatic73c1,424$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Fnatic73c1,382$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.868934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Fnatic2c1,300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2618149.7%90 W · 91 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Karmine Corp51c1,270$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.513651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Fnatic48c1,253$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.9321136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Fnatic4c1,236$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Fnatic72c1,221$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.2341537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fnatic52c1,182$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.7575142.7%321 W · 430 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Karmine Corp27c1,040$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.225761.1%157 W · 100 L+22.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Fnatic72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Fnatic73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Karmine Corp28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9932445.4%147 W · 177 L+51.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+39.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Karmine Corp21c940.47$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.9712850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Karmine Corp34c937.99$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.0715038%57 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Karmine Corp27c936.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.4829733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fnatic25c934$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.51,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fnatic62c928.5$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.771,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Karmine Corp32c883.93$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.0717150.9%87 W · 84 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fnatic48c856.88$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.0157550.6%291 W · 284 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Fnatic73c791.78$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5787347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Fnatic2c766.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Fnatic71c756.58$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.173666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2469…4812backed Fnatic12c750.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf489…4cb0backed Fnatic66c730$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.61181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Karmine Corp26c715.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.027445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Fnatic61c667.52$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.255939%23 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp52c643.22$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.771,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Karmine Corp53c627.23$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3845250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Fnatic14c625.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fa…26d9backed Fnatic57c617.6$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.151650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Karmine Corp35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39015160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Karmine Corp42c598.45$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Fnatic50c584.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.374669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Karmine Corp54c571.65$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.154542.2%230 W · 315 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3e…dadebacked Fnatic18c563.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed Fnatic73c548$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.047045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Fnatic42c545.78$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3831634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Karmine Corp49c535.68$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3330147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fnatic35c534.14$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.811,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Karmine Corp27c530$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.91926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Fnatic9c525$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2523836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Fnatic73c524$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6431153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked Fnatic73c501.37$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3666668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Karmine Corp34c500.03$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2732047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed Fnatic80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Fnatic58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Karmine Corp25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3754926.5%13 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Karmine Corp29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3552138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fnatic65c484.29$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.161,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed Fnatic38c467.47$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.955228.8%15 W · 37 L-8.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Fnatic64c467.17$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.83551.4%18 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Fnatic73c464.37$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.995349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Fnatic44c458.85$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2926932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Fnatic38c458.46$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2110951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Karmine Corp37c411$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.935955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa941…dc9ebacked Fnatic73c402.27$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Karmine Corp27c373.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.9913148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a9…9f56backed Fnatic16c369.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.642725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3573…4b4dbacked Karmine Corp30c368.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Karmine Corp27c365.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.826446.9%30 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic50c357.81$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.631,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Karmine Corp27c342.02$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6725756%144 W · 113 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Karmine Corp50c328.64$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3210956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fnatic53c327.91$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4393649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Fnatic70c314.02$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2943459.2%257 W · 177 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Fnatic79c312.54$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4724846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Fnatic37c309$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked Fnatic41c303.22$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Karmine Corp50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked Fnatic60c297.12$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.861770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Fnatic49c296.14$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7515334.6%53 W · 100 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Karmine Corp56c288.89$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+73.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed Fnatic73c276.27$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.68540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.