Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeaca787d7c2352225098377e76e01c599de5749a02c42a0312103569bf42539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Fnatic, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 7,499$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.81 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fnatic | 33c | 3,801$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.46 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 2,934$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.95 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Fnatic | 46c | 2,259$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.95 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Fnatic | 29c | 1,409$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.69 | 195 | 40.5%79 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 1,382$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,348$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.21 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fnatic | 49c | 999.72$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.53 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Fnatic | 50c | 999.13$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.99 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fnatic | 57c | 995.34$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.19 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Fnatic | 56c | 938.47$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.28 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic | 53c | 837.35$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.06 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 818.83$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.36 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Fnatic | 57c | 788.38$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.06 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fnatic | 45c | 725$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.06 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 680.22$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.42 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 588$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.08 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Fnatic | 62c | 578.91$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.79 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Fnatic | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Fnatic | 49c | 425$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Fnatic | 50c | 389$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Fnatic | 56c | 379.88$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.73 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 315.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x577a…6ef5backed Fnatic | 44c | 309.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Fnatic | 58c | 300$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 293.51$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Fnatic | 60c | 288$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Fnatic | 41c | 245.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 240$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 235.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fnatic | 63c | 228.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 224.02$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Fnatic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Fnatic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Fnatic | 35c | 191.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Fnatic | 49c | 183.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Fnatic | 50c | 168.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Fnatic | 38c | 126.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 112.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Fnatic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Fnatic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Fnatic | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Fnatic | 41c | 97.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Fnatic | 44c | 87.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…47ecbacked Fnatic | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Fnatic | 42c | 84.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Fnatic | 49c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fnatic | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Fnatic | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Fnatic | 50c | 52.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Fnatic | 44c | 49.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 39.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 35.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Fnatic | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked Fnatic | 46c | 32.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Fnatic | 59c | 30.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Fnatic | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…86c6backed Fnatic | 60c | 20.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Fnatic | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fnatic | 64c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 3 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 4 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.