Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x173f703a2b777f6fadf79303b91289a6ca391200ff20f4db2e8aaa8f78eef0f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Fnatic, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 2,341$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.24 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 1,507$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.25 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 1,374$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Fnatic | 2c | 1,294$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fnatic | 69c | 775.54$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.42 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic | 80c | 705.32$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.7 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Fnatic | 57c | 676.86$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.73 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Fnatic | 3c | 647$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 593.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.65 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Fnatic | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Fnatic | 62c | 415$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.3 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fnatic | 52c | 376.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Fnatic | 11c | 340$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Fnatic | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Fnatic | 11c | 273.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fnatic | 27c | 273.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Fnatic | 49c | 269.23$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Fnatic | 54c | 250$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 208$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Fnatic | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fnatic | 47c | 198$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Fnatic | 64c | 157$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Fnatic | 62c | 153.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Fnatic | 62c | 144.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 106.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Fnatic | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fnatic | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fnatic | 64c | 81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 78.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed Fnatic | 70c | 71.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fnatic | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 51.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Fnatic | 73c | 50.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fnatic | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 39.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Fnatic | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…8f48backed Fnatic | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Fnatic | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Fnatic | 65c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Fnatic | 37c | 28.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef74…1cd0backed Fnatic | 71c | 28.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Fnatic | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fnatic | 63c | 19.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Fnatic | 76c | 17.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 3 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 4 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.