Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x174bfeb2b92ee6513d0ebf5749c2c03af60759fffb0949c23819a29ea88abe37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Fnatic | 51c | 8,155$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Fnatic | 57c | 4,597$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.41 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Fnatic | 72c | 2,279$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.17 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Fnatic | 53c | 1,253$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.44 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Fnatic | 61c | 1,038$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.77 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 1,022$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Karmine Corp | 18c | 999.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic | 63c | 676.57$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.09 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 561.17$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.71 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fnatic | 51c | 510$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fnatic | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Fnatic | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Karmine Corp | 3c | 474.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Fnatic | 58c | 378.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…26d9backed Fnatic | 57c | 342.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 340.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 336.16$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Fnatic | 54c | 304.14$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Fnatic | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Fnatic | 75c | 276.34$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…7b5bbacked Fnatic | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Fnatic | 51c | 246.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Fnatic | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 134.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 100.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Karmine Corp | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 95.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Fnatic | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Fnatic | 65c | 92.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…436cbacked Fnatic | 67c | 81.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 81.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Fnatic | 62c | 79.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 70cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Fnatic | 55c | 69.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Fnatic | 58c | 69.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked Fnatic | 79c | 69.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed Fnatic | 50c | 66.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 51.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Fnatic | 70c | 49.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 47.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Fnatic | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…9f56backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Fnatic | 68c | 29.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Fnatic | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…0fddbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 27.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 3 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.