TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of G2, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,320,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,370,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,320,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 584 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked BIG27c450,431$119,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,543.8542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed G274c250,977$185,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,254.0310361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked G273c227,441$166,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,408.9414050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed BIG27c130,412$35,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,639.7523839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed BIG26c89,000$23,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,14025355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed G273c80,000$58,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,6007363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed G273c75,004$54,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,251.081963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed G274c50,000$37,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.9620354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed G272c49,999$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.8441649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G274c41,000$30,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,66050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked G273c40,000$29,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,80015245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed BIG26c38,129$10,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,052.3813244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BIG12c37,931$4,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.51,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked BIG27c35,000$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,449.9175652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed G273c30,000$21,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10017951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked BIG16c29,062$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,595.5841040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked G273c25,319$18,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,836.1176058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed BIG27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40016449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked G274c18,243$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,743.2422354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed BIG8c17,984$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.7211439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed BIG27c17,900$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8333351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BIG26c16,452$4,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.8947147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked G274c16,216$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,216.221050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed BIG27c15,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked BIG8c12,583$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.7920936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed G272c12,500$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed BIG26c11,464$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.6915947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BIG27c11,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked BIG9c10,199$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.6729127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed BIG26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60019543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed G272c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked BIG26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60023145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed BIG26c9,500$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4706841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked G273c8,615$6,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.0864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed G275c8,606$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.2623949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked BIG27c8,380$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed G273c8,000$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BIG25c7,325$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.742,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BIG27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89011638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BIG27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BIG27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked BIG26c6,005$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.1713760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked BIG27c6,000$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.4217540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked BIG28c5,724$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.625543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BIG27c5,555$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8560248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked BIG27c5,477$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.674837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed G277c5,065$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.9420448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked G273c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35034559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed BIG27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3507354.8%40 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa40a…fa62backed BIG10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked BIG18c4,616$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.525742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2831…5473backed G273c4,073$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.8210969.7%76 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked G274c4,054$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.0525261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed BIG9c3,889$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BIG26c3,886$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.4366851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked BIG26c3,581$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93123952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed BIG28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed BIG26c3,556$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.562642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BIG28c3,400$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94810136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked BIG27c3,400$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9182920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb12b…5a89backed G273c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8106168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked G273c2,850$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.3811656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed G273c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.7312955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked G273c2,720$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.5123646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed BIG27c2,593$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9913732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed G273c2,589$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.1348350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed G274c2,575$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.736848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed G279c2,542$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3127961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed BIG27c2,491$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.5713049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BIG27c2,200$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5941,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked BIG27c2,183$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.1610449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed G273c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked BIG27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54014044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G273c1,957$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.345,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed BIG27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed G274c1,822$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.621,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked BIG28c1,771$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49612143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed BIG26c1,720$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed BIG28c1,600$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44025145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked BIG28c1,600$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4481,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed BIG9c1,567$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14143933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed G274c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3909551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G273c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40526054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked G273c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40578963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c2…fad6backed BIG11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked BIG27c1,404$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.186040%24 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed G275c1,400$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.5124262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked G275c1,395$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.678353%44 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed BIG14c1,381$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed G273c1,369$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.6345639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe584…9bb3backed BIG28c1,340$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.181957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed BIG26c1,300$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.9657641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked BIG27c1,296$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9913234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed BIG27c1,274$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8822750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed BIG27c1,256$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.123250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fce…0ccebacked BIG4c1,217$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed BIG23c1,216$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.312147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed BIG27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32410251%52 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed G274c1,182$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4325845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8b5…c111backed G273c1,147$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.084461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.