TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of G2, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed G245c35,500$16,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,385.0550254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked BIG55c35,000$19,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,249.9423245.7%106 W · 126 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked G273c15,462$11,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,188.8725655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked G244c12,057$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,757.3225751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked BIG57c12,000$6,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,839.9636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BIG54c11,773$6,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,329.9682143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked G244c11,538$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,451.6638358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked G243c10,500$4,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,03521251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BIG57c7,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.9772046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G242c6,033$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,486.635,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BIG57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BIG55c5,732$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.1867951.4%349 W · 330 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed BIG58c5,500$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.9685358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed G243c5,338$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.6618243.4%79 W · 103 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked BIG43c5,208$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.835658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BIG58c5,012$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.7578939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed BIG57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8509551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed BIG25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.8936845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked G243c4,651$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.1616248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed BIG57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28027353.1%145 W · 128 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed BIG26c3,865$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.3736054.4%196 W · 164 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed G243c3,720$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.448437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BIG58c3,463$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.7160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G241c3,092$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.032,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BIG57c2,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.991,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked G274c2,413$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.579549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked G245c2,364$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.4419546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked G275c2,255$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.2215153.6%81 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked G246c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.916256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked BIG48c2,096$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.498038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed BIG33c2,055$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.926147.1%123 W · 138 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed BIG26c2,045$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.856938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked G256c2,026$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.536753.7%197 W · 170 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BIG43c2,000$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.342,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed G241c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9655845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked G242c1,919$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.057843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed BIG28c1,814$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.219446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed BIG59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019554.9%107 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed BIG29c1,516$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.612748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed G275c1,516$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.882751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed BIG26c1,476$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.7852750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked BIG59c1,359$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.6627552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed BIG26c1,320$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.9111453.5%61 W · 53 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed BIG26c1,288$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7621351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed BIG57c1,250$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.8718846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed G244c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked G243c1,234$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.3834559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BIG54c1,232$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.0947347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed BIG56c1,165$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6512343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed G243c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.799256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed BIG28c1,109$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.15438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed BIG27c1,012$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.922449.6%111 W · 113 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed G247c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53018547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked G274c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed G246c999.97$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9918754.5%102 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed G242c952.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3836450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked BIG25c859.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9919642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked BIG59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f63…9551backed G274c772.77$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.24252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed G273c750.42$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6813754%74 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked BIG56c728.72$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed G244c711.96$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.75345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked G275c709.81$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.364452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed G243c708.8$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.025944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8aa…a3c7backed G275c666.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed BIG59c649.62$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.5513253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed BIG58c633.16$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.5265254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked BIG27c612.52$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16536145.4%164 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffd…d27cbacked BIG24c575.48$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.112055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a2…e0b6backed BIG56c554.14$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked BIG27c550.2$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.779153.8%49 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…9bb3backed BIG59c538.62$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.791957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed G243c524.47$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2210339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed BIG53c524.16$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.89053.3%48 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed BIG54c515.57$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.724654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked BIG29c500.17$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14539944.1%176 W · 223 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked G248c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26049849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed G244c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28021246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked BIG53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2657647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcab0…0d18backed BIG53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked BIG53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x173f…e44dbacked BIG56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed G247c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26515050%75 W · 75 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked G244c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28077247.8%369 W · 403 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed G244c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BIG44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked G254c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23065950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed BIG54c499.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9957740.4%233 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cd5…12a2backed G243c456.4$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.152050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked BIG46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2077742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed G254c450$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20776546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked G275c439.34$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5913850%69 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed G243c405.94$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.396651.5%34 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed G243c404.81$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9514145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed G241c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2361,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bd…5f54backed G246c385.04$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.929338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed BIG27c367.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.957546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked BIG20c365$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7324447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed G256c362.2$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2318848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed BIG54c358.64$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.935538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.