CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90294e7a2351ba08163d353b004dc1a1a02216976a018c1876c3fda730009980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed G2 | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed BIG | 47c | 1,222$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.94 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked BIG | 46c | 937.77$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.37 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed G2 | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 | 53c | 555$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed BIG | 47c | 555$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked BIG | 47c | 549.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 | 53c | 410.71$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed BIG | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 | 55c | 243.58$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed G2 | 55c | 121.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed G2 | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked BIG | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BIG | 44c | 94.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked G2 | 54c | 93.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed G2 | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed G2 | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BIG | 50c | 22.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.