CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37ad08e1ea1f2e2881e187ab16db398fd806938bb2c52c43351dc92f347b8542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Under | 73c | 6,246$4,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.53 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 14c | 2,953$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.63 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 26c | 2,323$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.98 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 25c | 2,068$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.01 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Over | 28c | 1,876$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.01 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 20c | 1,316$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.46 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Under | 74c | 972.6$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Under | 74c | 917.66$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Over | 29c | 689.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 14c | 665.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Under | 74c | 648.31$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.26 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 14c | 578.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Over | 26c | 555.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 56c | 504.14$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.82 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 55c | 332.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…9551backed Under | 74c | 308.61$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Under | 73c | 307.49$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 73c | 259.67$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 42c | 235$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 226.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 74c | 182.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Under | 57c | 174.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 18c | 172.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 26c | 170.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 24c | 163$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 13c | 151.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 43c | 127.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed Under | 74c | 123.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…ca12backed Over | 44c | 112.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…ba19backed Over | 44c | 108.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 37c | 94.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…89ebbacked Over | 27c | 84.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 57c | 84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…ef53backed Over | 40c | 74.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 73c | 67.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…3797backed Over | 44c | 65.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Over | 28c | 65.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 17c | 63.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 25c | 59.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 27c | 57.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Under | 73c | 55.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Under | 74c | 53.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46c…3939backed Under | 57c | 53.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 55c | 50.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Under | 74c | 40.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 44c | 33.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Under | 74c | 27.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 60c | 26.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…0ff3backed Under | 74c | 25.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Under | 74c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…48d2backed Under | 72c | 22.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 75c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…16cebacked Under | 72c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Under | 74c | 20.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 74c | 19.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…f9cfbacked Under | 74c | 19.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.