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Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked FURIA Esports52c28,987$15,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,790.231,30445.2%589 W · 715 L+50.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA Esports67c20,000$13,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,550.292654%500 W · 426 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed FURIA Esports70c18,246$12,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,526.6939964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed LOS55c14,528$7,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,925.731,46038.4%560 W · 900 L-44.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed FURIA Esports67c13,348$8,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,462.1390146.8%422 W · 479 L+43.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed LOS33c10,166$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,352.791,01847.7%486 W · 532 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOS28c7,886$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.62,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOS34c7,815$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.2990348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LOS56c6,228$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.91,02046.9%478 W · 542 L+19.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed FURIA Esports69c5,511$3,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.5664455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked LOS1c5,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed LOS50c4,347$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.1386943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked FURIA Esports42c3,383$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.815928.8%17 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked LOS30c3,303$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5691537.5%343 W · 572 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked LOS30c3,096$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.8889244.1%393 W · 499 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed LOS35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00061554.5%335 W · 280 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked LOS35c2,854$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99959948.2%289 W · 310 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked LOS31c2,551$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79937640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57d…701fbacked FURIA Esports58c2,315$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.412446%57 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed LOS67c2,052$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.4475342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked LOS30c2,003$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.951,27137.6%478 W · 793 L+33.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed LOS34c2,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6701,22935.9%441 W · 788 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed LOS1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed LOS30c1,956$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.83033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked FURIA Esports31c1,954$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.1527244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LOS34c1,812$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.181,98748.4%961 W · 1,026 L+26.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked FURIA Esports64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.596057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed LOS30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed LOS50c1,224$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.121,21743.5%529 W · 688 L-15.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed FURIA Esports58c1,092$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.721,82039.2%714 W · 1,106 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked FURIA Esports66c1,024$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.2384660.8%514 W · 332 L+44.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked FURIA Esports65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35031535.6%112 W · 203 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed FURIA Esports74c947.45$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.451,23258.1%716 W · 516 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed LOS35c932$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.218746%86 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LOS41c907.94$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.351,63840.2%659 W · 979 L+49.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4582…82b9backed FURIA Esports55c902.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3111761.5%72 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked LOS49c899$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.951,02155.8%570 W · 451 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed LOS34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports40c816.1$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.591,54362.7%967 W · 576 L+159.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed LOS46c786$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.5636749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked FURIA Esports22c763.42$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.831,68859.5%1,004 W · 684 L+99.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked LOS30c750$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed FURIA Esports71c750$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.513761.3%84 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed LOS33c749.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25054944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked LOS28c681.96$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9518335.5%65 W · 118 L-23.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked LOS70c676.89$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.7667760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LOS30c650.6$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1881250.6%411 W · 401 L+47.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed LOS31c621.84$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7750845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed LOS68c588.42$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.5232253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked FURIA Esports36c568.32$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.061,01048.1%486 W · 524 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed LOS54c541.43$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.181,33153.2%708 W · 623 L+36.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed FURIA Esports73c523.42$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0725058.4%146 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa617…c1d8backed FURIA Esports38c519.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.821464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e6b…b4b4backed FURIA Esports63c507$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.59119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-85.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef98…68f7backed FURIA Esports29c504.77$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5213544.4%60 W · 75 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked FURIA Esports67c500.08$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0396847.6%461 W · 507 L+2.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed LOS36c499.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,47528.9%427 W · 1,048 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked LOS71c464.17$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.4531153.4%166 W · 145 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOS49c461.4$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0528042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed LOS43c456.27$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7639266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked LOS39c448.74$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0120144.8%90 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked FURIA Esports60c415.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.744553.5%238 W · 207 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed FURIA Esports54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18426246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed LOS33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13282953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FURIA Esports54c393.82$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.913,03244.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L-100.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked FURIA Esports69c384.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3430856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed LOS75c377.16$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8711361.9%70 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2b…1388backed FURIA Esports61c360.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8614546.2%67 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed LOS76c360$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.645466.1%300 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked LOS35c350$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.56443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed FURIA Esports30c334$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23435633.7%120 W · 236 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb5…def4backed LOS30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011258.9%66 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked LOS30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016540.6%67 W · 98 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed LOS64c330$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.280573.2%589 W · 216 L+44.5wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked LOS36c329.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6415149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed FURIA Esports34c325.79$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1367757.3%388 W · 289 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed LOS45c323.64$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6448553.4%259 W · 226 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed FURIA Esports72c315.15$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2438556.9%219 W · 166 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed FURIA Esports72c305.19$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1979864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed FURIA Esports15c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25553829.4%158 W · 380 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed LOS70c290.64$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4523057.8%133 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe232…6ceabacked FURIA Esports7c290$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.75219.2%10 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed LOS35c284.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.28237.8%31 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d6…e718backed LOS30c283.48$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.041450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed LOS38c263.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked FURIA Esports9c258.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8119148.7%93 W · 98 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa640…3b9fbacked LOS60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032948.6%160 W · 169 L+21.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked LOS40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023655.9%132 W · 104 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed LOS38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9542343.5%184 W · 239 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked FURIA Esports54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11560538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked FURIA Esports22c249.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9972234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked LOS54c243.26$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9270615%106 W · 600 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked LOS35c240$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed LOS42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b7…fbcfbacked FURIA Esports80c235.65$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1327666.7%184 W · 92 L+25.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked FURIA Esports64c232.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7110251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…6929backed LOS66c228.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed FURIA Esports66c227.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.524953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked LOS49c222.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6159341.8%248 W · 345 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed LOS36c220.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8064451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.