TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LOS35c22,787$7,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,971.711,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed FURIA Esports65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0001,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA Esports65c4,970$3,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.5390348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed FURIA Esports64c3,146$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.841,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed FURIA Esports65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9954756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LOS35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.582,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports74c2,866$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.551,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed LOS36c2,722$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.8160354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LOS38c2,645$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.841,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed LOS1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA Esports63c1,909$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.81,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed LOS34c1,530$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.211,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LOS36c1,200$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.712,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA Esports69c1,199$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.4591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed LOS40c1,153$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.931,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FURIA Esports63c999.99$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9959554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed FURIA Esports56c887.99$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.719457.4%54 W · 40 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LOS36c818.06$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.542,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked LOS37c788.61$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7983560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed FURIA Esports64c786.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.23043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed LOS31c634$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7282836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed FURIA Esports66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20428448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOS35c566.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed FURIA Esports63c543.49$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0986943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed LOS41c541.28$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5952543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed LOS40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20094237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed LOS25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed LOS35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed LOS37c499.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa57d…701fbacked FURIA Esports39c490.74$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.3512446%57 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked LOS43c460.83$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0846650.9%237 W · 229 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed LOS35c450$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.582953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed LOS67c449.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed FURIA Esports65c446$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.11,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed FURIA Esports65c407.01$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4858559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked LOS20c366$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9140231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed LOS14c348$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.681,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked FURIA Esports64c346$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.471,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOS38c335.77$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.561,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed FURIA Esports60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked FURIA Esports63c319.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0643453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5353…649cbacked FURIA Esports63c316.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.337347.9%35 W · 38 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed FURIA Esports64c314.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.457754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed LOS65c307.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked FURIA Esports66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked FURIA Esports66c293.96$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.211,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LOS28c279.06$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.172,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked LOS39c268.72$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.890537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed LOS37c249.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.51,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc4…d48cbacked LOS35c247.48$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6327540.4%111 W · 164 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LOS36c241.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.561,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed LOS40c230$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9221051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed LOS35c220.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.111,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked FURIA Esports62c208.49$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7910251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FURIA Esports53c205.1$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.361,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed LOS41c201.19$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0278043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed FURIA Esports63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7417757.6%102 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed LOS35c194.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0341343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed LOS24c186$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.991,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FURIA Esports64c178.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.131,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked LOS36c168.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2658420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOS39c168.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5728042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb1…d11ebacked LOS61c164.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015541.3%64 W · 91 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2093…fc4ebacked LOS13c161.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.166827.9%19 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked FURIA Esports64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2525256.3%142 W · 110 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7900…3393backed FURIA Esports66c156.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1315656.4%88 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed LOS16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2460738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FURIA Esports57c148.22$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.911,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked LOS35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed LOS54c138.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3820551.7%106 W · 99 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed LOS16c134.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4457222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed FURIA Esports65c132.88$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5157351.3%294 W · 279 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed FURIA Esports60c131.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6779864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed LOS36c131.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.391,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked LOS30c129.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.461,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked LOS30c127.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.621,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LOS17c124.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed LOS40c114.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7650745%228 W · 279 L+1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed LOS12c112.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5550145.7%229 W · 272 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked LOS26c102.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9117632.4%57 W · 119 L-15.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55f5…1e72backed LOS40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034141.6%142 W · 199 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOS34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked FURIA Esports61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3995048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed LOS44c93.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2338945.2%176 W · 213 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOS28c90.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed FURIA Esports67c89.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1825074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3284…b930backed LOS35c87.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked FURIA Esports62c82.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.086759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed LOS43c78.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.731,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed LOS35c70.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.734844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed LOS36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2579151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed LOS53c68.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.091,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked LOS42c68.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7721854.6%119 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed FURIA Esports62c66.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1296452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked LOS28c65.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5618738.5%72 W · 115 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb54…ac7bbacked FURIA Esports63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.496965.2%45 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed LOS38c57.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed LOS38c56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2875342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports50c52.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed LOS30c52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.674637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.