TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof BIG, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,169,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,346,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,169,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,048 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked BIG53c102,957$54,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,350.7583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Liquid46c92,588$42,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,423.5517951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Liquid47c75,000$35,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,749.923857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked BIG0c55,122$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1213760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed BIG51c50,233$25,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,618.7525355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed BIG55c42,000$23,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,065.873351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked BIG53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,199.895444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Liquid49c38,272$18,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,518.7823355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid46c38,127$17,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,484.355,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked BIG53c28,411$15,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,057.674639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc2a…4af4backed BIG0c23,262$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Liquid46c21,600$10,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,581.8736453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed BIG53c21,538$11,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,469.2667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Liquid48c20,308$9,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,560.119248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BIG54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.5250054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a7…1137backed Liquid48c18,565$8,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,736.651435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b8…09e5backed BIG52c16,000$8,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3201145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Liquid47c15,957$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,457.4523839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Liquid44c13,138$5,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,357.3310142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BIG36c12,442$4,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,448.181,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed BIG45c12,369$5,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,619.416737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked BIG53c12,000$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,359.9636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Liquid46c11,111$5,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9288242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Liquid47c10,647$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,643.2919455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Liquid46c10,425$4,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,629.6533343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Liquid44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9976058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Liquid46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.7510361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63a4…0091backed BIG54c9,767$5,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,256.5840%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Liquid60c9,630$5,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,806.9841040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked BIG53c8,659$4,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,589.197250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed BIG54c8,419$4,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,507.623949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed BIG53c8,282$4,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,389.5146243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Liquid47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,24028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BIG56c7,800$4,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,337.9923848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BIG55c7,781$4,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,304.0766851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Liquid59c7,413$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.2133359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed BIG54c7,100$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.9784958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed BIG53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Liquid44c6,818$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.1825751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed BIG54c6,627$3,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,578.482441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed BIG53c6,422$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.527454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Liquid48c6,234$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.6834559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed BIG54c6,123$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,306.428951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked Liquid47c6,108$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.564963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed BIG56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3609551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked Liquid75c5,712$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4286947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed BIG24c5,530$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.764526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Liquid47c5,310$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,814.2538358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Liquid78c5,293$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.6144957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked BIG55c5,056$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.9627552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed BIG54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7002857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Liquid46c5,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.9975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed BIG55c4,727$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Liquid48c4,692$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.6755043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78b…2bb3backed BIG54c4,619$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BIG35c4,561$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.462,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed BIG43c4,380$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.66245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Liquid47c4,217$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.4635940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Liquid47c4,136$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.8359839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked BIG28c3,918$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.8330726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Liquid45c3,825$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.9997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed BIG53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed BIG50c3,539$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9985851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Liquid64c3,015$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.075,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Liquid46c3,000$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.0427658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Liquid47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed BIG53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.9817045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed BIG54c2,933$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.5516346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BIG37c2,807$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.2188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked BIG52c2,775$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.863262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG41c2,774$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.062,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed BIG45c2,761$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.2915155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb465…0d8dbacked Liquid43c2,730$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG41c2,696$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.587,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BIG56c2,677$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.1260248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Liquid47c2,553$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.1920358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked BIG55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.9718550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Liquid47c2,493$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.2917643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BIG37c2,363$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.561,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed BIG39c2,356$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.222444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3aee…5808backed Liquid46c2,340$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked BIG55c2,327$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.0755843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BIG52c2,274$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.932,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid70c2,239$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.014,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Liquid59c2,228$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.911,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Liquid45c2,200$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.9518547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Liquid45c2,143$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.0432732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Liquid65c2,021$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.6522449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Liquid46c2,009$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.6515947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed BIG42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked BIG54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9919346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed BIG40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9217737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed BIG54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed BIG54c1,974$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06618846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked BIG25c1,968$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.7817148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…d445backed BIG50c1,963$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked BIG55c1,889$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.9913234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked BIG53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005565.5%36 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeee4…6d32backed BIG37c1,850$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.261811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf8d…80c8backed BIG32c1,827$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.743551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.