NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf15bce151406a0070316a02f05bd1a2d14a760730b63bd380fea4c9fc59d11d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Thunder | 0c | 18,243$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Spurs | 76c | 9,060$6,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Thunder | 24c | 8,520$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.8 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Thunder | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Spurs | 77c | 6,480$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 11c | 6,383$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.86 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2e81backed Spurs | 74c | 6,025$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Thunder | 26c | 5,891$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.74 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…8039backed Spurs | 75c | 5,600$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 24c | 3,732$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Thunder | 23c | 2,609$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder | 12c | 2,092$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 26c | 1,600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 26c | 1,459$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.21 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 74c | 1,438$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.06 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 8c | 1,401$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Spurs | 76c | 1,291$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 24c | 1,213$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.19 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Thunder | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 26c | 989.73$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 18c | 946.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Spurs | 76c | 855.16$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thunder | 8c | 818$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Spurs | 77c | 759.15$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Thunder | 26c | 521.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 20c | 518.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Spurs | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Spurs | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Spurs | 76c | 427.63$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Spurs | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Thunder | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Thunder | 26c | 310.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Thunder | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac04…e6e0backed Spurs | 77c | 294.92$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spurs | 73c | 284.93$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Spurs | 73c | 270.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Thunder | 25c | 260.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Thunder | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…e354backed Spurs | 74c | 228.69$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Thunder | 26c | 218.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b27…1feebacked Spurs | 76c | 211.34$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Spurs | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Spurs | 76c | 202.8$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Thunder | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Spurs | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Thunder | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Thunder | 27c | 195.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 24c | 170.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…90f6backed Thunder | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed Thunder | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…5106backed Spurs | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…5899backed Spurs | 75c | 133.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…a56ebacked Spurs | 75c | 129.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Thunder | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Spurs | 75c | 108$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…689cbacked Spurs | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a29ebacked Spurs | 75c | 102.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Spurs | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Spurs | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Thunder | 27c | 86.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…8524backed Spurs | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…c87fbacked Thunder | 27c | 77.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Thunder | 26c | 68.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd03d…1b36backed Spurs | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 24c | 62.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Thunder | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Thunder | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…5753backed Thunder | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Thunder | 24c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Thunder | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…29c3backed Thunder | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…7358backed Spurs | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Thunder | 24c | 42.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Thunder | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Spurs | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Spurs | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…db71backed Spurs | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Spurs | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Spurs | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f98…e226backed Spurs | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spurs | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Spurs | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Spurs | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Spurs | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcd…3218backed Spurs | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…12d9backed Spurs | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…7228backed Spurs | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.