TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x16e7…c87f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinezbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Janice Tjen vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.9
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffinbacked David Goffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Yelyzaveta Kotliarbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.15
Geneva Open: Francisco Comesana vs Jaume Munarbacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensikbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$29.07
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Fiona Ferro vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Jil Teichmannbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.48
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.95
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.77
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.12
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.66
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigersbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lionsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$330.56
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wizbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$39.15
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. LG Twinsbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.39
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.54
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.21
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.17
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.84
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.23
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.56
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$32.21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.96
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.4
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$52.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.27
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.81
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.06
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.22
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.2
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.49
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.82
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.66
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.19
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$7.61
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.54
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.46
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.66
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+124.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$67.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.33
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+365.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+365.8%+$109.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winnerbacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.