TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes51c25,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,199.9836243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes55c20,000$10,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,045.111471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No49c15,054$7,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,376.675848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c11,895$5,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,709.4216953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c11,309$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,819.982,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes47c8,213$3,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,379.277258.3%42 W · 30 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No48c8,056$3,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,866.888245.1%37 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12012564%80 W · 45 L+13.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes42c5,205$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.485,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes48c4,609$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.52,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No48c4,375$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes52c4,016$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.78549.4%42 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes52c3,600$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7276446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes59c3,461$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.32,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No52c3,200$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66411952.9%63 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes47c2,720$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.731,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No55c2,667$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.6151842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes52c1,784$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.5492043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No53c1,695$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.635869%40 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No45c1,472$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+89.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes52c1,444$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.021,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78a8…0753backed No47c1,425$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No40c1,400$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55410028%28 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No54c1,374$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.1210057%57 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes53c1,266$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.8354650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No11c1,222$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.994043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6487552%39 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No50c1,189$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5943167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2827542.5%117 W · 158 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes41c1,102$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.457969.6%55 W · 24 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes51c1,080$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.3818344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No50c1,067$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1771533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c1,063$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.512,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No52c990.78$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.2120632%66 W · 140 L-17.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes51c980.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3818343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No17c973.39$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.647,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No52c799.99$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9914050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes44c782$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.394656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No52c765.82$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.171,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed No52c754.31$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed No49c730.55$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.971060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes52c680$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.46845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes51c646.37$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9785250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No52c643.33$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.533369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No23c628.69$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7264842%272 W · 376 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32411254.5%61 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No48c599.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.992864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No54c592$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.689255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No54c569.33$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4413860.1%83 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No46c551.98$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.911936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes54c547.65$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes52c534.56$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9877350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No52c519.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.397152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No46c500.1$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.052755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes41c478.9$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.557779.2%61 W · 16 L+18.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.4%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No54c460$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.46861.8%42 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes52c459.12$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.511,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Yes47c400.08$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.081947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2169457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes49c360.87$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.041957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes50c349.74$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6139852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes54c316.3$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.526549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No54c312.34$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5410753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No52c311.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.239256.5%52 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes40c299.93$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5211520.9%24 W · 91 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes49c276.27$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.82,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No54c260$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.46651.5%34 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes52c250.4$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.519146.6%89 W · 102 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed No4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102825%7 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked No48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No49c240$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.628446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c240$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.151,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed No50c237.51$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No62c232.75$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.251560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+535.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No50c212.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0218659.7%111 W · 75 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes52c209$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.323138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929644.8%43 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2634139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049258.7%54 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No55c195.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.158230.5%25 W · 57 L-11.3wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No51c192.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.943652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No46c175$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.232,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes79c160$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0115371.9%110 W · 43 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.49761.9%60 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No53c156$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6810458.7%61 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce6…8e94backed No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed No19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c128$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.371,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Yes22c125.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.851050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked No23c124$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.441030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No53c123$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.191,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes76c120.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.751450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No53c112.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.11,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes49c106.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2191148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.