Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbacdba0bc485ced974773445e8ac7e1fb53d5498f7b44f5f7245e4329168c8f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 26c | 29,909$7,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,724.35 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 74c | 14,095$10,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.7 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 26c | 12,847$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.22 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 7,846$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 6,430$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.9 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 5,124$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.76 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 71c | 3,948$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.8 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 3,556$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.41 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 74c | 3,160$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 3,013$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 2,466$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 40c | 1,874$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.27 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,333$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.56 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 1,204$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.67 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 1,096$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.72 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 693.37$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 74c | 675$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 75c | 646.12$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 74c | 592$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 71c | 498.62$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 74c | 460$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 24c | 431.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 427.64$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 337.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 19c | 299.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 244.23$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 216.08$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 50c | 215.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 212.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 74c | 200.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 74c | 156$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 74c | 156$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 151.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 146$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 127.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 122$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 100.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 94.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 74c | 86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 59.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 45c | 54.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…7eaebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 79c | 33.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 53c | 29.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 69c | 29.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 25.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Konyaspor win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.