TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8609…a968backed No1c11,290$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes60c9,280$5,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.825,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No35c9,045$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.8622949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No5c4,809$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.292,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c1,693$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.8917249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.799652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked No59c1,273$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.9610634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes27c999.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.971145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+93.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No2c983.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6524162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c914.98$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.941,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c580.49$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.789955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes33c562.53$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3919753.8%106 W · 91 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c517.68$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.911,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Yes58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…212dbacked No48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No41c363.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No9c322.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0496846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No7c279.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0210843.5%47 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No32c242.3$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.352,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…9b9cbacked Yes28c212.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa0…6ca0backed Yes69c206.54$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x892a…0039backed Yes28c176.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No63c172.28$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3412660.3%76 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes74c171.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.533966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No40c167.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.573850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed No30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No25c150.87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9727639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No36c139.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8770842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No18c137.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2230548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes37c136.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1910522.9%24 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d7…47cbbacked No8c125.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes28c125.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1239954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes64c120.75$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6739058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes30c110.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8734050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f76…fb8abacked Yes29c102.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb361…c953backed No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…8e94backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9923755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No25c97.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3311053.6%59 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda49…db09backed No73c91.43$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No40c88.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9518851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd00b…9aa0backed No73c87.51$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes61c85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1514247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c83.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.981,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No40c82.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1756445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes28c75.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.264744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373c…ba22backed No73c74.65$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…d27fbacked Yes29c72.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.432937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No23c71.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6346422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a97…ba8cbacked Yes28c69.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e2…e307backed Yes74c61.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.064100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+84.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes27c60.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7422544%99 W · 126 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30bc…9920backed No73c58.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes28c57.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.292744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7609…4094backed Yes78c56.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes67c55.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3110160.4%61 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.576435.9%23 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No64c51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6911347.8%54 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No32c49.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9625653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No68c49.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6913563.7%86 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes65c44.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3915971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc415…92c2backed No73c41.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde15…b797backed No72c40.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x534a…023abacked Yes52c38.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No41c36.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1224448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7d…2cabbacked No74c36.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.041729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c2…5906backed No73c35.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes46c35.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.082,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes67c32.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.963663.9%23 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c34…52b4backed No72c32.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e7…c87fbacked Yes75c26.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes64c25.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.14656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes55c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.315470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Yes60c21.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.614057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked No70c21.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.122763%17 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed No67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3911759%69 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No72c17.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4213951.1%71 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes68c15.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.051376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d3…5f8ebacked Yes80c14.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes75c14.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.630464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.