TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35e2…e307

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Asian League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.89
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$23.77
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.22
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.91
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.88
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigersbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.17
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.15
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.07
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.56
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.8
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-68.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.62
Istanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsenbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.98
Istanbul: Paulo Dos Santos vs Denis Yevseyevbacked Paulo Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.24
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Taburbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.88
Bengaluru 3: Maximus Jones vs Sasikumar Mukundbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Bengaluru 3: Grigoriy Lomakin vs Alex Hernandezbacked Grigoriy Lomakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.49
ITF Takasaki: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigobacked Rina Saigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$12.44
ITF Takasaki: Yuriko Lily Miyazaki vs Sara Saitobacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+84.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$29.31
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$97.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+140.7%+$20.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$40.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$3.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Scotland (-2.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.