Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs Sergey Fomin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5695df79f679450d95a41fa7ab64b7a061f291a2dac591e2f0369a3d490bd7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrej Nedicof Andrej Nedic, Sergey Fomin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Sergey Fomin | 17c | 11,346$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.86 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Andrej Nedic | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Andrej Nedic | 77c | 3,700$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Sergey Fomin | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Andrej Nedic | 68c | 1,234$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Andrej Nedic | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…bf3cbacked Sergey Fomin | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Andrej Nedic | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Sergey Fomin | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Sergey Fomin | 36c | 987.07$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.35 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Sergey Fomin | 5c | 881.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Andrej Nedic | 67c | 480.01$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Andrej Nedic | 70c | 476.76$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.03 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Andrej Nedic | 70c | 469.48$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Andrej Nedic | 66c | 275.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Sergey Fomin | 23c | 266.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Andrej Nedic | 77c | 237.71$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sergey Fomin | 29c | 234.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Sergey Fomin | 29c | 228$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sergey Fomin | 34c | 217.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 206.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Andrej Nedic | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sergey Fomin | 37c | 175.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Andrej Nedic | 64c | 173.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Andrej Nedic | 69c | 157.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Andrej Nedic | 66c | 155.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Andrej Nedic | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Andrej Nedic | 73c | 142.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Sergey Fomin | 29c | 142.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Andrej Nedic | 69c | 141.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sergey Fomin | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Andrej Nedic | 70c | 113.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 108.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sergey Fomin | 36c | 108.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Sergey Fomin | 38c | 104.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Andrej Nedic | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Andrej Nedic | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Andrej Nedic | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Andrej Nedic | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andrej Nedic | 80c | 93.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sergey Fomin | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sergey Fomin | 20c | 79.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Andrej Nedic | 77c | 77.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Sergey Fomin | 29c | 77.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Andrej Nedic | 66c | 77.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Andrej Nedic | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andrej Nedic | 61c | 72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Andrej Nedic | 66c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Andrej Nedic | 70c | 59.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Andrej Nedic | 66c | 50.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Andrej Nedic | 80c | 47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Sergey Fomin | 35c | 44.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Sergey Fomin | 33c | 40.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Andrej Nedic | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Sergey Fomin | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…74b5backed Andrej Nedic | 64c | 32.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Andrej Nedic | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Andrej Nedic | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Andrej Nedic | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Andrej Nedic | 67c | 29.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…2c73backed Andrej Nedic | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 28.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Andrej Nedic | 69c | 25.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Andrej Nedic | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Andrej Nedic | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Andrej Nedic | 68c | 20.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked Andrej Nedic | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Andrej Nedic | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Andrej Nedic | 70c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Andrej Nedic | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.