MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba2bd126cbd379ce3897860aafbd0a4ebb04e7d95ec186ac3d94fe8af5d4c95c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Chicago White Sox, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,112,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,311,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,112,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 131,841$75,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,691.45 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 76,645$21,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,365.38 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 65,710$19,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,587.86 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 64,000$27,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,520 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 63,331$36,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,692.34 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 59,838$31,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,171.72 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 50,487$21,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,204.58 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 35,862$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,062.07 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 29,525$12,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,089.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 11c | 27,376$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 26,775$14,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,822.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 23,907$16,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,929.35 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 23,694$13,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,314.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 23,432$9,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,617.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 23,100$9,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,933 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 18,193$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.97 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 17,176$9,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,535.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 16,746$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Chicago White Sox | 16c | 15,415$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 10,480$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,030.48 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 9,302$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.86 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 9,284$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 8,750$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 7,023$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.77 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Chicago White Sox | 1c | 6,150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 5,914$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.76 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 5,359$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.39 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 5,124$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.47 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 4,857$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.11 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 4,322$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.12 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 4,233$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.34 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 3,549$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.07 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 3,489$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 18c | 3,220$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,016$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.96 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 2,988$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,797$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.97 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,758$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.62 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 2,727$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.27 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago White Sox | 23c | 2,613$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.36 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,574$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.82 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked Chicago White Sox | 6c | 2,524$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,505$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.17 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 2,477$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.38 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Chicago White Sox | 1c | 2,475$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,332$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.59 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 2,248$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 2,244$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.36 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,183$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.69 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,010$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.24 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Chicago White Sox | 10c | 1,967$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 1,816$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 1,740$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,703$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.2 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,642$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.59 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.99 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Chicago White Sox | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,201$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,158$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 1,143$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.61 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 1,046$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,001$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.27 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…9453backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Chicago White Sox | 19c | 954.16$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.11 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 952.2$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.44 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 937.5$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 931.45$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.16 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 880.29$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.07 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 814.4$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.91 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked Chicago White Sox | 20c | 799.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 772.53$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.44 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 33c | 765.68$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 762$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.19 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chicago White Sox | 2c | 750$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 714.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 700.57$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.23 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 700.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 700$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 672$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 665.77$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago White Sox | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 600$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 577.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Chicago White Sox | 10c | 574.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 570.76$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.18 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 555.2$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.