TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Seattle Mariners, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox59c48,732$28,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,208.1710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners45c25,943$11,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,646.522,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners33c16,619$5,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,501.4712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners51c9,160$4,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,663.611,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Seattle Mariners39c6,410$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox53c4,876$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.5311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Mariners42c4,713$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.621,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Seattle Mariners40c4,664$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.761,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox58c4,478$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.414,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox61c3,302$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.013,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Mariners38c2,400$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91267250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed Chicago White Sox66c2,121$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.212770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7805,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox62c1,599$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.734,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox59c1,016$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.718,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Chicago White Sox70c903.64$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.6121147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox62c543.39$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.491,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Chicago White Sox61c446.5$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1456851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox61c420$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.81,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Seattle Mariners31c419.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13017250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1566,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox54c312.46$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.048,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago White Sox62c299.76$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.912,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox76c239.23$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.163,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Mariners38c225.84$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2899624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners36c225$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Seattle Mariners38c210$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.819335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Seattle Mariners39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Seattle Mariners39c166.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6566448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Chicago White Sox60c160.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0247350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Seattle Mariners36c157.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8132550.5%164 W · 161 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Seattle Mariners30c156.04$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.158054.5%316 W · 264 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox60c145.48$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.473,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners40c142.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.792,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Chicago White Sox61c129$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3172648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Seattle Mariners40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Seattle Mariners42c116.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4622848.2%110 W · 118 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Seattle Mariners34c115.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4257548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Seattle Mariners32c112.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3644648.7%217 W · 229 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Seattle Mariners34c109.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5810539%41 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Chicago White Sox57c106.2$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.281,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Chicago White Sox59c97.59$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0119442.3%82 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Seattle Mariners80c93.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757361.6%45 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox61c90.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.342,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox55c89.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.316,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Chicago White Sox61c85.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1873748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox50c80.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.345,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Seattle Mariners40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Chicago White Sox63c73.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.312,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Seattle Mariners34c61.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0546952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Seattle Mariners40c58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Seattle Mariners27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159147.3%43 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d6…ed1ebacked Seattle Mariners57c53.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Seattle Mariners38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox62c49.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.061,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners40c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Seattle Mariners47c48.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6429553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners29c47.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.938,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox33c46.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.676,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf713…fdebbacked Seattle Mariners39c45.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.693040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Seattle Mariners37c40.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.982259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Seattle Mariners40c39.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7621350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Seattle Mariners38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.821,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Seattle Mariners34c37.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7846946.3%217 W · 252 L-25.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Seattle Mariners54c34.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.621,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Chicago White Sox61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed Seattle Mariners42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.521028.8%9 W · 93 L-31.9wins-0.31per pick40cpaid-82%equal weight22-0.25 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Seattle Mariners39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.781651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Chicago White Sox62c28.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7315949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Seattle Mariners40c27.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.859749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5514…bfa1backed Seattle Mariners42c26.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Seattle Mariners40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034843.4%151 W · 197 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Chicago White Sox68c23.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4755847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox63c21.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.922,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Chicago White Sox63c21.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.926946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Chicago White Sox49c20.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3926853.4%143 W · 125 L+1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Chicago White Sox64c16.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8142241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.