MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b232bc35aa02be20511e62ce96b342413dc4ab65f3b264ce8b27bdee745472
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 200,040$92,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,021.7 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 54c | 131,417$70,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,744.29 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 54c | 102,666$55,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,439.59 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 17,540$8,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,471.75 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 9,174$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,461.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 7,779$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 4,406$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.12 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 4,113$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.28 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 3,829$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 2,218$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.59 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 47c | 2,177$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.01 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 2,166$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.39 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.44 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,889$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 1,697$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.8 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 53c | 1,661$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Under | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 37c | 1,535$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.36 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 55c | 1,482$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.53 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 48c | 1,267$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 53c | 1,224$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 1,216$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.39 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 59c | 1,169$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.33 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.64 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked Under | 55c | 948.24$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.74 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 948$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 862.78$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 47c | 784.32$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.69 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 42c | 765.05$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.38 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 47c | 757.6$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.55 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 58c | 710.76$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.16 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 696.67$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 61c | 638.88$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.45 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 58c | 636.01$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.31 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 44c | 535.84$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.07 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 55c | 514.25$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.19 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 49c | 510.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 44c | 476.04$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 62c | 471$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 431.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 46c | 393.24$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.35 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 48c | 312$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.42 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 66c | 303.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 54c | 300.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 288.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.73 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 35c | 272.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 271.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…d279backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 29c | 235.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 222.17$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 41c | 213.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 57c | 198$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 64c | 186.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Under | 53c | 175.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 170$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 59c | 167.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 57c | 166.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 166.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 150.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 129.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 48c | 104.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 55c | 91.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 47c | 88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 41c | 86.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 83.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 48c | 72.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…be90backed Under | 47c | 71.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 48c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 53c | 67.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 52c | 65.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 48c | 65.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 40c | 59.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 44c | 58.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6767backed Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Over | 54c | 56.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 54c | 55.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 43c | 45.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Over | 41c | 45.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 44c | 44.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.