TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87f7…be90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 62 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+50.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Lightning vs. Hurricanesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+74.7%+$153.08
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+143.9%+$407.24
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$180
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$431.44
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+90.4%+$135.65
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.5%+$173.66
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$383.4
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$132.55
Hurricanes vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+143.9%+$392.85
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$110.74
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$442
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$270
KHL: HC Sochi vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$88.38
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+156.4%+$391.03
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+132.6%+$265.12
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$273.33
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$335.66
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$506.83
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$201.3
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$75
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$113
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$282
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$284
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$357
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.37
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$115.12
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$170.27
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$90.55
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+233.3%+$483
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.75
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+100%+$19
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$147.76
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250.32
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$258
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$215
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$426.61
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$555.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$11.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$133.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.